Match Info

Date: 20 February 2022, Sunday


	Ursaria		Parla

	1	X	2
	1.51	3.75	5.5
	1.3	4.1	7
	1.25	4.3	10
	1.31	4.35	8.4
	1.27	4.75	11.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.65)	4.25 ↑ (3.19)	8.43 ↑ (4.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ursaria
68%

Draw
21.3%

Parla
10.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.5%

27.2%

20.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.6%

21.4%

16%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ursaria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ursaria's performance.

Parla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Parla might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ursaria than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Parla than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Parla could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ursaria - Parla Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 7 (Promotion ~ Play Offs) and 14 in the zone Relegation).

Ursaria is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Parla is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Ursaria is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ursaria won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CDE Ursaria
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
16.02.22	CDE Madrid - Ursaria	2:0 ✺
13.02.22	Ursaria - Getafe B	1:0 ✺
09.02.22	Ursaria - Carabanchel	2:0 ✺
06.02.22	Tres Cantos - Ursaria	0:0 ✺
30.01.22	Ursaria - Galapagar	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWWTW
- AD Parla
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
16.02.22	Torrejón - Parla	2:2 ✺
13.02.22	Parla - CDE Madrid	1:0 ✺
09.02.22	Carabanchel - Parla	1:0 ✺
06.02.22	Getafe B - Parla	3:2 ✺
30.01.22	Parla - Tres Cantos	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 TWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
24.10.21	Parla - Ursaria	1:1

Ursaria - Parla: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide