Match Info

Date: 3 April 2022, Sunday


	Ursaria		Complutense Alcalá

	1	X	2
	1.44	3.6	6.75
	1.34	3.95	6.5
	1.41	3.65	6.8
	1.38	4	7.21
	1.39	4.05	8.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.48)	3.85 ↑ (3.62)	7.11 ↑ (6.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ursaria
64.2%

Draw
23.2%

Complutense Alcalá
12.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.5%

24.7%

14.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.6%

25.6%

14.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ursaria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Complutense Alcalá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ursaria than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Complutense Alcalá than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Ursaria - Complutense Alcalá Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 10 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Ursaria is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Complutense Alcalá is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ursaria could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Ursaria is certain favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ursaria won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CDE Ursaria
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
27.03.22	Moratalaz - Ursaria	0:0 ✺
20.03.22	Ursaria - Villaviciosa de Odón	1:0 ✺
13.03.22	Ursaria - Villaverde San Andrés	0:1 ✺
06.03.22	Trival Valderas - Ursaria	2:1 ✺
27.02.22	Torrejón - Ursaria	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 TWLLL
- AD Complutense Alcalá
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
26.03.22	Complutense Alcalá - Parla	2:1 ✺
20.03.22	CDE Madrid - Complutense Alcalá	1:0 ✺
16.03.22	Complutense Alcalá - Getafe B	2:2 ✺
13.03.22	Tres Cantos - Complutense Alcalá	1:0 ✺
05.03.22	Complutense Alcalá - Galapagar	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
04.12.21	Complutense Alcalá - Ursaria	2:2

Ursaria - Complutense Alcalá: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide