Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 7 - ROUND 19

Date: 5 February 2023, Sunday


	Ursaria		Las Rozas

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.4	4.2
	1.83	3.42	4.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↑ (1.51)	3.41 ↓ (3.74)	4.13 ↓ (5.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ursaria
51.4%

Draw
26.6%

Las Rozas
22%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.9%

24.2%

15.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.5%

23.2%

15.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ursaria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ursaria's form might have worsened.

Las Rozas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Las Rozas's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ursaria than the current prediction. (+11.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ursaria, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Las Rozas than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Las Rozas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Ursaria - Las Rozas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 7 (Play Offs)).

During last matches two teams got success in matches and won.

Las Rozas could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Ursaria is certain favorite.

Our prediction for today's Ursaria to win the game is with odds 1.51.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Ursaria won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Ursaria won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CDE Ursaria
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
28.01.23	Alcalá - Ursaria	0:1 ✺
22.01.23	RSC Internacional - Ursaria	1:1 ✺
15.01.23	Ursaria - Paracuellos Antamira	2:1 ✺
08.01.23	Ursaria - Torrejón	4:0 ✺
18.12.22	Móstoles URJC - Ursaria	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WTWWW
- Las Rozas CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
29.01.23	Las Rozas - Paracuellos Antamira	3:1 ✺
22.01.23	Torrejón - Las Rozas	0:1 ✺
15.01.23	Las Rozas - Móstoles URJC	2:1 ✺
08.01.23	Las Rozas - Collado Villalba	0:0 ✺
18.12.22	Canillas - Las Rozas	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
02.10.22	Las Rozas - Ursaria	0:3
22.01.22	Ursaria - Las Rozas	2:1
15.09.21	Las Rozas - Ursaria	2:1

Ursaria - Las Rozas: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide