Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 7 - ROUND 18

Date: 28 January 2023, Saturday


	Alcalá		Ursaria

	1	X	2
	3	2.75	2.35
	2.9	2.6	2.38
	3	2.7	2.34
	3.12	2.69	2.39
	3.15	2.96	2.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.03 ↑ (2.62)	2.74 ↑ (2.6)	2.36 ↓ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alcalá
29.5%

Draw
32.6%

Ursaria
37.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.2%

33.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.2%

33.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alcalá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Ursaria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcalá than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ursaria than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Alcalá - Ursaria Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 9 and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Recent matches Alcalá is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ursaria in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Alcalá won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Alcalá won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RSD Alcalá
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
22.01.23	Paracuellos Antamira - Alcalá	1:1 ✺
14.01.23	Alcalá - Torrejón	1:0 ✺
08.01.23	Alcalá - Móstoles URJC	0:1 ✺
18.12.22	Collado Villalba - Alcalá	0:0 ✺
11.12.22	Alcalá - Canillas	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TWLTW
- CDE Ursaria
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
22.01.23	RSC Internacional - Ursaria	1:1 ✺
15.01.23	Ursaria - Paracuellos Antamira	2:1 ✺
08.01.23	Ursaria - Torrejón	4:0 ✺
18.12.22	Móstoles URJC - Ursaria	0:1 ✺
11.12.22	Ursaria - Collado Villalba	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
25.09.22	Ursaria - Alcalá	1:1
09.04.22	Alcalá - Ursaria	2:1
08.12.21	Ursaria - Alcalá	2:0

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