Match Info

Date: 23 October 2022, Sunday


	Ursaria		Trival Valderas

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.4	4.5
	1.74	3.1	4.3
	1.75	3.22	4.49
	1.83	3.15	4.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↑ (1.62)	3.22 ↑ (3.19)	4.39 ↓ (4.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ursaria
51.6%

Draw
27.9%

Trival Valderas
20.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.8%

27.3%

18.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.6%

25.1%

17.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ursaria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Trival Valderas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ursaria than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ursaria, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trival Valderas than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

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Preview

The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 7 (Play Offs)).

Ursaria in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Trival Valderas is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Trival Valderas could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Ursaria is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Ursaria to win the game is with odds 1.6.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Ursaria won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Ursaria won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CDE Ursaria
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
16.10.22	Rayo Vallecano B - Ursaria	1:3 ✺
08.10.22	Ursaria - Galapagar	1:0 ✺
02.10.22	Las Rozas - Ursaria	0:3 ✺
25.09.22	Ursaria - Alcalá	1:1 ✺
11.09.22	Paracuellos Antamira - Ursaria	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WWWTW
- CF Trival Valderas
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
16.10.22	Trival Valderas - Paracuellos Antamira	2:1 ✺
09.10.22	Torrejón - Trival Valderas	1:1 ✺
02.10.22	Trival Valderas - Móstoles URJC	3:0 ✺
25.09.22	Collado Villalba - Trival Valderas	1:2 ✺
18.09.22	Trival Valderas - Canillas	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.5 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
06.03.22	Trival Valderas - Ursaria	2:1
07.11.21	Ursaria - Trival Valderas	0:0

Ursaria - Trival Valderas: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide