Match Info

Liga de Ascenso - Apertura - Round 7

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Costa-rica	FUTV, TD +


	Uruguay de Coronado		Aserrí

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.20	2.55
	2.52	3.1	2.45	Watch
	2.4	3.37	2.43
	2.59	3.54	2.49	Watch
	2.35	3.3	2.25
	2.55	3.38	2.55	Watch
	2	3.25	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↑ (2.06)	3.31 ↓ (3.4)	2.55 ↓ (3.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Uruguay de Coronado
37.5%

Draw
27.2%

Aserrí
35.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.6%

27%

28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.6%

28.2%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Uruguay de Coronado has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Uruguay de Coronado's form might have worsened.

Aserrí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Aserrí's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Uruguay de Coronado than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Uruguay de Coronado, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aserrí than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Aserrí, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Uruguay de Coronado - Aserrí Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
89', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 5 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Ascenso (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Uruguay de Coronado won 0.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Aserrí may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Uruguay de Coronado might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Uruguay de Coronado won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 22:21. (average 1.1:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Uruguay de Coronado won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 1.3:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Uruguay de Coronado
Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
05.09.26	Guadalupe - Uruguay de Coronado	0:1 ✺
29.08.26	Uruguay de Coronado - Moravia	1:0 ✺
23.08.26	Santa Ana - Uruguay de Coronado	3:1 ✺
17.08.26	Pitbulls - Uruguay de Coronado	2:1 ✺
02.08.26	Uruguay de Coronado - Carmelita	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WWLLT
- Aserrí FC
Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
06.09.26	Aserrí - Cariari Pococí	1:1 ✺
28.08.26	Carmelita - Aserrí	1:2 ✺
22.08.26	Aserrí - Pitbulls	1:1 ✺
15.08.26	Guadalupe - Aserrí	0:2 ✺
01.08.26	Santa Ana - Aserrí	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.9 TWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
09.03.26	Aserrí - Uruguay de Coronado	1:0
17.01.26	Uruguay de Coronado - Aserrí	2:2
08.10.25	Uruguay de Coronado - Aserrí	1:1
23.08.25	Aserrí - Uruguay de Coronado	0:0
08.03.25	Uruguay de Coronado - Aserrí	1:2
25.01.25	Aserrí - Uruguay de Coronado	1:1
22.09.24	Aserrí - Uruguay de Coronado	0:0

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