The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Utah Royals 58.4%
Draw 22.8%
Bay FC 18.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
52.9%
23.8%
23.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
54.7%
23%
22.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Utah Royals has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Utah Royals's performance.
Bay FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Utah Royals than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bay FC than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
Utah Royals - Bay FC Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. McGlynn M. (G) 4. Cronin P. 8. Del Fava K. 5. Delzer C. 24. Lacasse C. 10. Miura N. 22. Moriya M. 14. Rabano N. 18. Riehl K. 11. Tanaka M. 17. Tejada Jimenez A.
29. Silkowitz J. (G) 41. Bebar H. 16. Collins S. (C) 21. Cometti A. 47. Fuller K. 2. Gilchrist H. 7. Huff T. 8. Hutton C. 5. Lema K. 24. Moreau M. 17. Pfeiffer A.
Substitutes
16. Brown C. 99. Hammond M. 23. Justus M. (G) 2. Milazzo T. 13. Mozingo B. 15. Pierre-Louis D. 6. Simmonds K. N. 30. Spaanstra A. 71. Swensen A.
32. Allen E. (G) 18. Anderson J. 19. Bailey D. 27. Barry K. 23. Conti C. 10. Girelli C. . Holzheier A. 11. Hubly K. . Nighswonger J.
Coaches
Coenraets J.
Coates E.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 2)
6', 0 - 1, Lema K. ⚽,
7', 1 - 1, Moriya M. ⚽,
22', 2 - 1, Miura N. ⚽, Lacasse C. (A),
29', 2 - 2, Gilchrist H. ⚽, Bebar H. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
61', Tejada Jimenez A. ↓, Hammond M. ↑,
61', Riehl K. ↓, Milazzo T. ↑,
62', Gilchrist H. ↓, Nighswonger J. ↑,
62', Pfeiffer A. ↓, Barry K. ↑,
71', Nighswonger J. 🟨,
79', 3 - 2, Tanaka M. (Penalty Awarded),
79', Delzer C. ↓, Brown C. ↑,
79', Cronin P. ↓, Mozingo B. ↑,
82', Lema K. ↓, Holzheier A. ↑,
88', Cometti A. ↓, Anderson J. ↑,
88', Huff T. ↓, Girelli C. ↑,
Preview
This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 14).
Utah has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Bay has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, Utah is the team to beat.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Utah won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 1.2:0.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Utah won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).