Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 2 - Round 4

Date: 28 September 2025, Sunday


	Utebo		Tudelano

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.25	3.9
	1.83	3.36	4.12
	1.00	12.76	25.00	Watch
	1.86	3.4	3.99
	1.94	3.66	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.9)	5.29 ↑ (3.4)	8.08 ↑ (3.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Utebo
65.4%

Draw
20.9%

Tudelano
13.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.9%

26.8%

25.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6%

26.4%

24.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Utebo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Utebo's performance.

Tudelano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tudelano might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Utebo than the current prediction. (-16.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Utebo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tudelano than the current prediction. (+11.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tudelano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Utebo - Tudelano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Leiton C. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
78', 2 - 0, Suarez D. ⚽,
89', 2 - 1, Claveria M. ⚽,
90+5', 3 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Utebo won 0.

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Tudelano may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Utebo is seen as the favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Utebo won 0 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 0.7:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Utebo won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Utebo FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
21.09.25	Zaragoza B - Utebo	0:3 ✺
13.09.25	Utebo - Gernika	3:1 ✺
07.09.25	Utebo - Basconia	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
30.08.25	Utebo - Calahorra	3:1 ✺
16.08.25	Reus FC Reddis - Utebo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWTWL
- CD Tudelano
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
21.09.25	Tudelano - Eibar B	1:0 ✺
14.09.25	Real Unión de Irun - Tudelano	0:0 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
10.09.25	Atlètic Lleida - Tudelano	1:0 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
07.09.25	Tudelano - Beasain	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
16.08.25	SD Logroñés - Tudelano	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.8 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
06.04.25	Tudelano - Utebo	1:1
24.11.24	Utebo - Tudelano	0:0
25.02.24	Tudelano - Utebo	0:0
15.10.23	Utebo - Tudelano	2:2
05.02.23	Utebo - Tudelano	1:1
18.09.22	Tudelano - Utebo	1:0

Upcoming Matches