Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 25

Date: 12 March 2023, Sunday


	Utebo		UD Logroñés Promesas

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.7	6
	1.44	4.11	7.06
	1.47	3.96	6.5
	1.53	3.75	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.51)	3.88 ↑ (3.4)	6.29 ↓ (6.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Utebo
61.8%

Draw
23.6%

UD Logroñés Promesas
14.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60%

26.7%

13.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.5%

15.4%

23.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Utebo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

UD Logroñés Promesas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Utebo than the current prediction. (-27.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Utebo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UD Logroñés Promesas than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that UD Logroñés Promesas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Utebo - UD Logroñés Promesas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Utebo is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

UD Logroñés Promesas has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

UD Logroñés Promesas could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Utebo is indisputable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Utebo won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Utebo FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
05.03.23	Alfaro - Utebo	1:2 ✺
25.02.23	Beasain - Utebo	1:1 ✺
18.02.23	Utebo - Tarazona	0:2 ✺
12.02.23	Izarra - Utebo	0:2 ✺
05.02.23	Utebo - Tudelano	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WTLWT
- UD Logroñés Promesas
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
05.03.23	UD Logroñés Promesas - Tarazona	1:1 ✺
26.02.23	Izarra - UD Logroñés Promesas	2:0 ✺
19.02.23	UD Logroñés Promesas - Tudelano	0:2 ✺
12.02.23	Sestao - UD Logroñés Promesas	6:0 ✺
05.02.23	UD Logroñés Promesas - Real Sociedad C	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
23.10.22	UD Logroñés Promesas - Utebo	3:2

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