Match Info

Thai League 1 - Round 16

Date: 9 January 2026, Friday

Location: Uthai Thani Provincial Stadium (Uthai Thani)

Where to Watch on TV:


Thailand	AIS PLAY


	Uthai Thani		Buriram United

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.15	3.75	1.65	Watch
	4.42	4.1	1.62	Watch
	3.9	3.6	1.7
	3.9	3.9	1.8	Watch
	4	3.75	1.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.07 ↓ (5.2)	3.82 ↓ (4.18)	1.69 ↑ (1.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Uthai Thani
22.3%

Draw
23.8%

Buriram United
53.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.4%

21.6%

61%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.1%

21.2%

62.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Uthai Thani has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Buriram United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Buriram United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Uthai Thani than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Uthai Thani that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Buriram United than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Buriram United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	40%	60%

Uthai Thani - Buriram United Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Buriram will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Buriram (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Buriram (2.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Buriram (1.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Buriram (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Wangthaphan C. (G) 2. Angha M. 5. Djalo M. 8. Weidersjo W. (C) 10. Davis B. 27. Beresford J. 30. Stewart H. 65. Auksornsri T. 70. Leandro Ribeiro 72. Bruno Baio 78. Gomis C.	13. Etheridge N. (G) 22. Ko Myeong-Seok 16. Dougall K. (C) 40. Edu Mancha 5. Bunmathan T. 28. Sanchez R. 75. Lee-Oh S. 23. Causic G. 2. Haiprakon S. 32. Zulj R. 10. Mueanta S.
Substitutes
67. Boonmalert P. 62. Doloh A. 7. Eisa M. 22. Kelvin 6. Kyaw S. M. 92. Meethoum A. 20. Naksawat N. 19. Playnum W. 11. Purisay S. 24. Sukhuna W. (G) 21. Tann Sirimongkol 17. Wachpirom J.	34. Bootprom C. (G) 11. Charoenrattanapirom P. 33. Chotmuangpak T. 3. Hemviboon P. 8. Maikami R. 54. Rattanasuwan N. 27. Sukjitthammakul P. 15. Weerawatnodom N. 44. Zulj P.
Coaches
Joksic M.	Jackson M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Mueanta S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
49', Gomis C. 🟨,
53', Angha M. ↓, Eisa M. ↑,
67', Leandro Ribeiro ↓, Kelvin ↑,
67', Stewart H. ↓, Doloh A. ↑,
70', Sanchez R. ↓, Zulj P. ↑,
85', Bunmathan T. 🟨,
89', Auksornsri T. ↓, Meethoum A. ↑,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 11 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Uthai Thani won 0.

Uthai Thani has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Buriram is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Uthai Thani may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Buriram is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Uthai Thani won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 4:17. (average 0.6:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Uthai Thani won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.3:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Buriram	3	2	1	0	5:2	3	7
3	Uthai Thani	3	2	0	1	7:4	3	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Uthai Thani
Thai League Cup
27.12.25	Nakhon Pathom United - Uthai Thani	0:2 ✺
Thai FA Cup
20.12.25	Uthai Thani - Prachuap	0:1 ✺
Thai League 1
13.12.25	Uthai Thani - Prachuap	4:0 ✺
07.12.25	Thai Port - Uthai Thani	3:1 ✺
29.11.25	Uthai Thani - Nakhon Ratchasima	7:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WLWLW
- Buriram United
Thai League 1
04.01.26	Prachuap - Buriram United	1:1 ✺
24.12.25	Sukhothai - Buriram United	0:1 ✺
14.12.25	Buriram United - Thai Port	1:0 ✺
AFC Champions League
09.12.25	Buriram United - Gangwon	2:2 ✺
Thai League 1
06.12.25	Buriram United - Kanchanaburi	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 TWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Thai League 1
24.08.25	Buriram United - Uthai Thani	5:1
01.03.25	Uthai Thani - Buriram United	0:0
17.10.24	Buriram United - Uthai Thani	1:0
18.05.24	Uthai Thani - Buriram United	0:2
Thai League Cup
13.03.24	Buriram United - Uthai Thani	3:2 penalties
Thai League 1
23.12.23	Buriram United - Uthai Thani	4:0
Thai FA Cup
08.02.23	Uthai Thani - Buriram United	1:2 ET

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