Match Info

AFC Champions League - League phase - Round 6

Date: 9 December 2025, Tuesday

Location: Chang Arena (Buriram)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Paramount+
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
China	iQIYI, Migu, ZhiBo8
Croatia	SportKlub 1
Hong-kong	HOY TV, M Plus Live
India	FanCode, FanCode, Vision+
Indonesia	K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel
Japan	DAZN Japan
Malaysia	Astro Arena Bola 2, Astro Go, Sooka
Pakistan	Tapmad
Russia	TV Start
Slovenia	SportKlub 2
South-korea	Coupang Play
Turkey	Spor Smart 2
Ukraine	Sport 1
World	Sport 1 Baltic, Sport 24


	Buriram United		Gangwon

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.35	3	3.1	Watch
	2.36	3.1	3.3
	2.34	3.07	3.21	Watch
	2.3	3	3.1
	2.38	3.13	3.26	Watch
	2.36	3	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↑ (1.96)	3.05 ↓ (3.75)	3.2 ↓ (3.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Buriram United
40%

Draw
30.8%

Gangwon
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.6%

24.9%

27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3%

24%

26.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Buriram United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Buriram United's form might have worsened.

Gangwon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Buriram United than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Buriram United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gangwon than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	33.3%	22.2%

Buriram United - Gangwon Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Buriram will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Gangwon will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Buriram: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Gangwon (1.81) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Gangwon (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Etheridge N. (G) 22. Ko Myeong-Seok 16. Dougall K. (C) 6. Good C. 19. Schindler K. 23. Causic G. 44. Zulj P. 30. Stojkovic F. 32. Zulj R. 7. Bissoli 10. Mueanta S.	21. Park Cheong-Hyo (G) 27. Kim Do-Hyun 24. Park H. 47. Shin Min-Ha 99. Kang Joon-Hyuck 42. Mo Jae-Hyeon 4. Seo Min-Woo 13. Lee Gi-Hyuk 7. Kim Dae-Won (C) 9. Kim Gun-Hee 28. Lee Seung-Won
Substitutes
34. Bootprom C. (G) 5. Bunmathan T. 21. Despotovic D. 2. Haiprakon S. 3. Hemviboon P. 55. Ibiza 8. Maikami R. 27. Sukjitthammakul P.	33. Hong Chul 36. Hwang Eun-Chong 37. Jeong Seung-Bin 20. Jo Hyun-Tae 8. Kang Y. 18. Kim Kang-Guk 26. Kim Min-Jun 35. Kim Tae-Hwan 1. Lee Gwang-Yeon (G) 34. Song Jun-Seok 32. Yoo Byung-Heon 73. Yun Il-Lok
Coaches
Jackson M.	Chung Kyung-Ho

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
18', Park H. 🟨,
22', Kim Dae-Won 🟨,
33', 0 - 1, Mo Jae-Hyeon ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
47', Dougall K. 🟨,
58', 1 - 1, Ko Myeong-Seok ⚽, Zulj P. (A),
65', 2 - 1, Mueanta S. ⚽, Zulj P. (A),
72', Bissoli 🟨,
73', 2 - 2, Kim Dae-Won (Penalty Awarded),
74', Kang Joon-Hyuck ↓, Kang Y. ↑,
74', Park H. ↓, Hong Chul ↑,
78', Kang Y. 🟨,
82', Lee Gi-Hyuk ↓, Jeong Seung-Bin ↑,
82', Seo Min-Woo ↓, Jo Hyun-Tae ↑,
85', Mueanta S. ↓, Despotovic D. ↑,
90', Kim Do-Hyun ↓, Yun Il-Lok ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 9).

Buriram is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Gangwon has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Buriram may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Buriram might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Buriram United
Thai League 1
06.12.25	Buriram United - Kanchanaburi	3:1 ✺
ASEAN Club Championship
03.12.25	Buriram United - Cong An Ha Noi	1:1 ✺
Thai League 1
30.11.25	Buriram United - Ratchaburi	2:0 ✺
AFC Champions League
26.11.25	Ulsan HD - Buriram United	0:0 ✺
Thai League 1
22.11.25	Muangthong United - Buriram United	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WTWTW
- Gangwon FC
South Korean K-League 1
30.11.25	Gangwon - Pohang Steelers	1:0 ✺
AFC Champions League
25.11.25	Gangwon - Machida Zelvia	1:3 ✺
South Korean K-League 1
22.11.25	Daejeon Citizen - Gangwon	1:1 ✺
08.11.25	Gimcheon Sangmu - Gangwon	0:1 ✺
AFC Champions League
04.11.25	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Gangwon	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WLTWL

Upcoming Matches