Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 6 - Round 22Date: 15 February 2026, Sunday
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Utiel |
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La Nucía |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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3.1 |
2.78 |
2.32 |
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3.71 |
2.76 |
2.21 |
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7.85 |
1.29 |
5.64 |
Watch |
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3.3 |
2.63 |
2.3 |
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3.63 |
2.72 |
2.18 |
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3.6 |
2.71 |
2.2 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
4.2 ↑ (3.33) |
2.48 ↓ (2.95) |
2.81 ↑ (2.17) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
- The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Utiel 23.9% | Draw 40.4% | La Nucía 35.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Utiel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)La Nucía has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and La Nucía might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Utiel than the current prediction. (+2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for La Nucía than the current prediction. (+7.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that La Nucía could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Utiel - La Nucía Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 and 7).Utiel has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).La Nucía is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3). In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Utiel won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).Including home match between the teams, Utiel won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 17 | Utiel | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 3 |
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Last Results with these Odds
La Nucía - the odds 2.17 are the expected chance of winning is 41.83%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;