Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 6 - Round 18

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday


	Roda		La Nucía

	1	X	2
	3.85	3.05	1.9
	8.02	1.31	5.15	Watch
	4.33	3.1	1.8
	3.68	3.2	1.93
	4.5	3.33	1.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.88 ↑ (3.27)	2.8 ↓ (3)	2.5 ↑ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Roda
21.3%

Draw
37.1%

La Nucía
41.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.8%

30.3%

41.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.7%

31.5%

43.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Roda's form might have worsened.

La Nucía has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roda than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Roda, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for La Nucía than the current prediction. (+2%)

Roda - La Nucía Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
86', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 11 and 9).

Now, both teams are in good form.

La Nucía is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Roda won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).

Including home match between the teams, Roda won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Roda	5	2	2	1	7:5	2	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Roda
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
11.01.26	Roda - Crevillente Deportivo	3:0 ✺
04.01.26	Soneja - Roda	0:1 ✺
20.12.25	Roda - Buñol	1:2 ✺
06.12.25	Roda - Vall de Uxó	2:1 ✺
23.11.25	Alzira - Roda	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.8 WWLWW
- CF La Nucía
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
11.01.26	Recambios Colón - La Nucía	0:1 ✺
04.01.26	La Nucía - Torrellano	4:1 ✺
20.12.25	Levante B - La Nucía	2:2 ✺
06.12.25	Hércules B - La Nucía	1:3 ✺
23.11.25	La Nucía - Castellonense	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
06.09.25	La Nucía - Roda	1:1
04.05.25	Roda - La Nucía	0:0
22.12.24	La Nucía - Roda	2:3

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