Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 6 - Round 30

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday


	Utiel		Recambios Colón

	1	X	2
	1.42	3.6	7.9
	1.43	3.69	8.49
	1.53	3.27	8.22	Watch
	1.44	3.4	8.5
	1.41	3.54	9.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↑ (1.38)	3.5 ↓ (3.96)	8.44 ↑ (8.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Utiel
63.1%

Draw
26.1%

Recambios Colón
10.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.9%

23%

11.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.8%

13.9%

18.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Utiel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Recambios Colón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Utiel than the current prediction. (-23.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Utiel that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Recambios Colón than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Recambios Colón could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Utiel - Recambios Colón Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
28', 0 - 1, Albert C. ⚽,
30', 1 - 1, Junquero D. ⚽,
42', 2 - 1, Junquero D. ⚽,
45+2', 2 - 2, Bonillo M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Utiel has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Recambios Colón is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Utiel may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Utiel is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Utiel won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
17	Utiel	5	0	3	2	4:7	-3	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Utiel
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
04.04.26	Torrellano - Utiel	1:1 ✺
29.03.26	Utiel - Levante B	0:3 ✺
22.03.26	Atzeneta - Utiel	1:3 ✺
15.03.26	Utiel - Hércules B	1:2 ✺
08.03.26	Castellonense - Utiel	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TLWLL
- Recambios Colón
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
02.04.26	Recambios Colón - Vall de Uxó	2:2 ✺
28.03.26	Alzira - Recambios Colón	2:0 ✺
22.03.26	Recambios Colón - Español de San Vicente	1:2 ✺
14.03.26	Roda - Recambios Colón	2:1 ✺
08.03.26	Atlético Saguntino - Recambios Colón	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
06.12.25	Recambios Colón - Utiel	2:2

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