The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Castellonense 55.2%
Draw 26.8%
Utiel 18%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
63.3%
24.1%
12.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
68.6%
22.2%
11.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Castellonense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Castellonense's form might have worsened.
Utiel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Utiel's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castellonense than the current prediction. (+13.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Castellonense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Utiel than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Utiel, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Castellonense - Utiel Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
75', 1 - 0, ⚽,
Preview
A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 16 in the zone Relegation).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Castellonense won 2.
Castellonense has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Utiel is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Castellonense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Castellonense is the undeniable favorite.
We predict that Castellonense will win today's game, with odds of 1.45.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Castellonense won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 1:0.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Castellonense won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:1. (average 0.7:0.3).
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