Match Info

Eredivisie Women - Round 21

Date: 8 May 2026, Friday

Location: Sportcomplex Zoudenbalch (Utrecht)

Referee: van Kruiselbergen C. (Ned)


	Utrecht		Heerenveen

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.55	3.05
	2.06	3.91	3.06
	2.09	3.52	3.09	Watch
	2	3.3	3
	2.1	3.78	3.05	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↑ (1.83)	3.61 ↑ (3.55)	3.05 ↓ (3.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Utrecht
44.7%

Draw
25.3%

Heerenveen
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.2%

25.3%

25.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.3%

24.7%

24.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Utrecht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Heerenveen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Utrecht than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Utrecht, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heerenveen than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Heerenveen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Utrecht - Heerenveen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bastiaen F. (G) 21. Paliama J. 2. Hermans F. 33. Weerelts A. 5. Verhoeve S. 15. Mahieu L. 8. Renfurm R. 18. Groenendijk T. 19. Loonen L. 7. de Jong S. 9. Tromp N. (C)	1. Resink J. (G) 24. Venema L. 2. Appelmann I. 3. Meijer F. (C) 5. Nassette A. 21. Vermeer B. 6. Maass E. 10. Kroezen S. 43. de Groot F. 19. Altena A. 8. de Haas R.
Substitutes
24. de Heus L. (G) 12. Koopman K. 17. Kruize E. 35. Neter E. 14. op den Kelder G. 13. Scheunemann C. 23. van Straten D. 40. Werkhoven I.	7. Algra H. 11. Boukakar R. 29. de Boer F. 77. de Haan R. 18. Kerkhof E. 16. Smit M.
Coaches
Helbling L.	Tarvajarvi N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Loonen L. ⚽, de Jong S. (A),
6', 2 - 0, Loonen L. ⚽, Tromp N. (A),
14', 3 - 0, Tromp N. ⚽, Mahieu L. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
51', 3 - 1, Altena A. ⚽, Maass E. (A),
64', de Groot F. ↓, Algra H. ↑,
64', Kroezen S. ↓, Boukakar R. ↑,
64', Vermeer B. ↓, Kerkhof E. ↑,
67', Groenendijk T. ↓, Kruize E. ↑,
75', 4 - 1, Kruize E. ⚽, Tromp N. (A),
76', Nassette A. ↓, Smit M. ↑,
79', 5 - 1, Kruize E. ⚽, Loonen L. (A),
79', de Jong S. ↓, van Straten D. ↑,
79', Tromp N. ↓, Scheunemann C. ↑,
82', de Haas R. ↓, de Boer F. ↑,
88', Loonen L. ↓, Koopman K. ↑,
88', Verhoeve S. ↓, op den Kelder G. ↑,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 6 and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Utrecht won 4.

Utrecht is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Heerenveen has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Utrecht will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Utrecht won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:6. (average 2:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Utrecht won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 2.3:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Heerenveen W	7	2	2	3	11:13	-2	8
10	Utrecht W	7	0	1	6	4:14	-10	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Utrecht Women
Dutch Eredivisie Women
03.05.26	Feyenoord - Utrecht	3:0 ✺
26.04.26	Utrecht - Twente	2:0 ✺
05.04.26	Utrecht - Zwolle	3:0 ✺
29.03.26	AZ Alkmaar - Utrecht	1:1 ✺
21.03.26	Utrecht - Excelsior	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 29.2 LWWTW
- SC Heerenveen Women
Dutch Eredivisie Women
03.05.26	AZ Alkmaar - Heerenveen	1:5 ✺
26.04.26	Heerenveen - PSV Eindhoven	0:1 ✺
05.04.26	Hera United - Heerenveen	2:1 ✺
29.03.26	Heerenveen - Feyenoord	2:1 ✺
15.03.26	Zwolle - Heerenveen	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.1 WLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie Women
21.12.25	Heerenveen - Utrecht	1:2
Dutch KNVB Beker Women
14.12.25	Utrecht - Heerenveen	4:2
Dutch Eredivisie Women
03.05.25	Heerenveen - Utrecht	2:3
10.11.24	Utrecht - Heerenveen	2:1
04.02.24	Heerenveen - Utrecht	0:0
01.10.23	Utrecht - Heerenveen	1:0

Utrecht - Heerenveen: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide