Match Info

Eredivisie Women - Round 14

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadion Galgenwaard (Utrecht)

Referee: van Riet D. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	ESPN Extra


	Utrecht		Excelsior

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.3	4.75	8
	1.3	4.85	7.5
	1.31	5.49	8.17
	1.31	5.17	7.86	Watch
	1.29	4.8	8
	1.32	5.16	8.69	Watch
	1.44	4.33	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.33)	4.94 ↓ (5.01)	7.75 ↑ (7.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Utrecht
69.5%

Draw
18.6%

Excelsior
11.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.1%

18.3%

12.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.2%

12%

19.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Utrecht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Excelsior has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Utrecht than the current prediction. (-24.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Utrecht that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Excelsior than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Excelsior could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Utrecht - Excelsior Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Utrecht (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Utrecht (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bastiaen F. (G) 12. Koopman K. 2. Hermans F. 3. Bormans M. 40. Werkhoven I. 15. Mahieu L. 9. Tromp N. (C) 8. Renfurm R. 7. de Jong S. 19. Loonen L. 10. Snellenberg M.	1. van der Klooster A. (G) 21. Burgers J. 4. Helderman Y. (C) 3. Westerink M. 5. Cherif D. 14. Verheijen J. 9. Gomez I. 8. Hilhorst N. 7. van Spijk V. 18. Balkhir H. 11. Martina S.
Substitutes
24. de Heus L. (G) 18. Groenendijk T. 21. Paliama J. 13. Scheunemann C. 23. van Straten D. 5. Verhoeve S. 33. Weerelts A.	19. De Jong Y. 12. de Raaff J. 2. De With L. 20. Frankena S. (G) 24. Haizoun D. 32. van der Eijk F. 6. van der Vlist A. 30. van de Stolpe E. 16. van Rheenen I. (G) 17. Vrij N. 15. Yamamoto M.
Coaches
Helbling L.	Kreugel M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
39', Balkhir H. ↓, Haizoun D. ↑,
45+3', 1 - 0, Snellenberg M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
58', Martina S. 🟨,
61', Werkhoven I. ↓, Verhoeve S. ↑,
61', Gomez I. ↓, van de Stolpe E. ↑,
71', 2 - 0, de Jong S. ⚽,
77', Snellenberg M. ↓, Paliama J. ↑,
77', Mahieu L. ↓, van Straten D. ↑,
77', Bormans M. ↓, Weerelts A. ↑,
79', Hilhorst N. ↓, van der Vlist A. ↑,
79', Helderman Y. ↓, van der Eijk F. ↑,
83', Tromp N. ↓, Scheunemann C. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 6 and 11 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Utrecht won 4.

Utrecht is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Excelsior has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Excelsior may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Utrecht is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Utrecht won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 21:4. (average 3.5:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Utrecht won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 2:0).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Utrecht W	7	0	1	6	4:14	-10	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Utrecht Women
Dutch Eredivisie Women
15.03.26	Utrecht - Ajax	0:2 ✺
22.02.26	ADO Den Haag - Utrecht	0:5 ✺
07.02.26	Utrecht - ADO Den Haag	1:3 ✺
01.02.26	Utrecht - NAC Breda	1:0 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker Women
28.01.26	PSV Eindhoven - Utrecht	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LWLWL
- Excelsior Women
Dutch Eredivisie Women
12.03.26	Excelsior - PSV Eindhoven	0:6 ✺
22.02.26	Excelsior - Hera United	1:2 ✺
01.02.26	Twente - Excelsior	3:0 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker Women
29.01.26	Excelsior - Twente	1:3 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie Women
25.01.26	Excelsior - Heerenveen	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie Women
02.11.25	Excelsior - Utrecht	2:4
Club Friendly Women
11.04.25	Excelsior - Utrecht	0:9
Dutch Eredivisie Women
09.02.25	Excelsior - Utrecht	1:0
28.09.24	Utrecht - Excelsior	2:0
24.03.24	Excelsior - Utrecht	1:4
10.11.23	Utrecht - Excelsior	2:0

Utrecht - Excelsior: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide