Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 4 - ROUND 25

Date: 12 March 2023, Sunday


	Utrera		Yeclano Deportivo

	1	X	2
	2.6	2.75	2.65
	2.6	2.6	3
	2.63	2.84	2.95
	2.59	2.95	2.77
	2.65	2.75	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.61 ↓ (3.26)	2.78 ↑ (2.7)	2.82 ↑ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Utrera
34.9%

Draw
32.8%

Yeclano Deportivo
32.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28%

33.9%

38.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.6%

33.4%

38.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Utrera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Utrera's performance.

Yeclano Deportivo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Yeclano Deportivo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Utrera than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Utrera that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yeclano Deportivo than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Yeclano Deportivo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Utrera - Yeclano Deportivo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Utrera is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Yeclano is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Utrera won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Utrera
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
05.03.23	Cartagena B - Utrera	3:2 ✺
26.02.23	Utrera - UCAM Murcia	1:1 ✺
18.02.23	Granada B - Utrera	1:0 ✺
12.02.23	Utrera - Mancha Real	1:0 ✺
05.02.23	El Ejido - Utrera	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LTLWL
- Yeclano Deportivo
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
05.03.23	Yeclano Deportivo - UCAM Murcia	1:1 ✺
26.02.23	Mancha Real - Yeclano Deportivo	1:2 ✺
19.02.23	Yeclano Deportivo - Juventud de Torremolinos	0:0 ✺
12.02.23	Vélez - Yeclano Deportivo	1:2 ✺
05.02.23	Yeclano Deportivo - Xerez Deportivo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 TWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
23.10.22	Yeclano Deportivo - Utrera	2:1

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