Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 4 - ROUND 23

Date: 26 February 2023, Sunday


	Utrera		UCAM Murcia

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.1	1.71
	5.8	3.35	1.6
	5.47	3.34	1.68
	5.6	3.13	1.7
	4.9	3.15	1.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.3 ↑ (2.88)	3.21 ↑ (2.75)	1.69 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Utrera
17.3%

Draw
28.5%

UCAM Murcia
54.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.3%

32.7%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6%

34%

34.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Utrera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Utrera's form might have worsened.

UCAM Murcia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting UCAM Murcia's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Utrera than the current prediction. (+15.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Utrera, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for UCAM Murcia than the current prediction. (-19.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for UCAM Murcia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Utrera - UCAM Murcia Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Utrera will win (votes: 1 - 25%). UCAM Murcia will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Utrera is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

UCAM Murcia is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Utrera could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match UCAM Murcia is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Utrera won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Utrera
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
18.02.23	Granada B - Utrera	1:0 ✺
12.02.23	Utrera - Mancha Real	1:0 ✺
05.02.23	El Ejido - Utrera	5:0 ✺
29.01.23	Utrera - Juventud de Torremolinos	1:2 ✺
22.01.23	Antequera - Utrera	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LWLLL
- UCAM Murcia CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
19.02.23	UCAM Murcia - Mancha Real	1:1 ✺
11.02.23	Juventud de Torremolinos - UCAM Murcia	0:1 ✺
05.02.23	UCAM Murcia - Vélez	4:0 ✺
29.01.23	Xerez Deportivo - UCAM Murcia	1:2 ✺
22.01.23	UCAM Murcia - Sevilla B	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
09.10.22	UCAM Murcia - Utrera	0:0

Upcoming Matches