Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 17 - ROUND 26

Date: 24 March 2024, Sunday


	Utrillas		Fraga

	1	X	2
	2.45	2.95	2.65
	2.5	3	2.75
	2.52	2.93	2.84
	2.52	2.79	2.84
	2.42	2.98	2.79
	2.5	3	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↑ (2.27)	2.94 ↓ (3)	2.77 ↓ (3.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Utrillas
36.5%

Draw
30.8%

Fraga
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.1%

30.3%

29.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8%

31.6%

28.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Utrillas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Fraga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Utrillas than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Utrillas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fraga than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
41', 1 - 0, Tena D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
82', 1 - 1, Jodar U. ⚽,
86', Rodriguez A. 🟨,
88', 2 - 1, Jaraba Y. ⚽,

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 11).

Utrillas has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Fraga is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Fraga could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Utrillas won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Utrillas
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 17
17.03.24	Belchite - Utrillas	2:1 ✺
13.03.24	Almudévar - Utrillas	0:0 ✺
10.03.24	Utrillas - Tamarite	0:2 ✺
25.02.24	Utrillas - Atlético Monzón	1:2 ✺
18.02.24	Fuentes - Utrillas	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LTLLL
- UD Fraga
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 17
10.03.24	Ejea - Fraga	2:1 ✺
03.03.24	Fraga - Cariñena	3:0 ✺
25.02.24	Cuarte - Fraga	2:2 ✺
18.02.24	Fraga - Binéfar	0:0 ✺
11.02.24	Borja - Fraga	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LWTTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 17
05.11.23	Fraga - Utrillas	0:1

Utrillas - Fraga: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide