Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 17 - Round 15

Date: 22 December 2024, Sunday


	Fraga		Binéfar

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.25	1.95
	3.45	3.3	1.98
	3.23	3.26	1.99
	3.47	3.37	1.99	Watch
	3.61	3.32	1.92
	3.45	3.3	1.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.41 ↓ (5.48)	3.3 ↓ (3.52)	1.97 ↑ (1.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fraga
26.6%

Draw
27.4%

Binéfar
46%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.6%

25.8%

57.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.3%

25.4%

58.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fraga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fraga's performance.

Binéfar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Binéfar might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fraga than the current prediction. (-10.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fraga that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Binéfar than the current prediction. (+12.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Binéfar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Fraga - Binéfar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 2)
49', 0 - 1, Samitier Labrador R. ⚽,
51', 1 - 1, Quibus A. (Pen),
62', 2 - 1, Rivera Ferrer N. ⚽,
80', 2 - 2, Samitier Labrador R. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Fraga
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 17
06.12.24	Fraga - Huesca B	0:1 ✺
01.12.24	Fraga - La Almunia	2:1 ✺
23.11.24	Caspe - Fraga	1:1 ✺
17.11.24	Fraga - Ebro	1:3 ✺
10.11.24	Cuarte - Fraga	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LWTLL
- CD Binéfar
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 17
15.12.24	Binéfar - Caspe	3:2 ✺
06.12.24	Ebro - Binéfar	0:0 ✺
01.12.24	Binéfar - Cuarte	3:1 ✺
24.11.24	Belchite - Binéfar	0:0 ✺
17.11.24	Binéfar - Épila	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 17
18.02.24	Fraga - Binéfar	0:0
01.10.23	Binéfar - Fraga	2:2
06.10.19	Binéfar - Fraga	3:2

Fraga - Binéfar: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide