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Current Win Probability
Utsikten 13.3%
Draw 18.6%
Trelleborg 68.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
18%
22.2%
59.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
17.6%
21.8%
61%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Utsikten has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
Trelleborg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Trelleborg's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Utsikten than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trelleborg than the current prediction. (-7.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Trelleborg, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Utsikten - Trelleborg Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
29. Dahlgren L. (G) 6. Berndtsson K. 22. Gustafsson D. 2. Hermansson D. (C) 12. Hjort W. 19. Koliqi M. 26. Lantz F. 17. Olsson P. 16. Risp E. 8. Wennergrund F.
1. Pahlsson M. (G) 6. Asani A. (C) 12. Balde P. 17. Ellbring I. 21. Gabrielsson O. 14. Gudmundsson J. 15. Karlsson V. 25. Lofberg E. 18. Modig J. 23. Poppler V. 3. Sverrisson O.
Substitutes
25. Ball O. 5. Fredriksson F. 14. Juhlin C. 1. Levin E. (G) 3. Lindquist A. 4. Wiklund A.
30. Arvidsson N. (G) 7. Christiansen J. 9. Jaf E. 26. Kack J. 16. Lubishtani D. 4. Rehn A. 10. Tipura S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Modig J. ↓, Tipura S. ↑,
60', Karlsson V. ↓, Jaf E. ↑,
60', Ellbring I. ↓, Christiansen J. ↑,
73', Gabrielsson O. ↓, Kack J. ↑,
77', Risp E. ↓, Lindquist A. ↑,
77', Hjort W. ↓, Ball O. ↑,
85', Wennergrund F. ↓, Juhlin C. ↑,
88', Gudmundsson J. ↓, Rehn A. ↑,
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Superettan).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Utsikten won 1.
Utsikten is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Trelleborg is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
In this match, Trelleborg is the obvious favorite.
We predict that Trelleborg will win today's game, with odds of 1.32.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Utsikten won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.4:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Utsikten won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 1.3:1.5).