Match Info

Division 2 - Norra Götaland - Round 23

Date: 28 September 2025, Sunday


	Vänersborgs FK		FBK Karlstad

	1	X	2
	5.9	4.75	1.41
	5.42	4.77	1.4
	6.36	4.5	1.39
	6.33	4.75	1.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	6 ↓ (6.5)	4.69 ↓ (5.15)	1.39 ↑ (1.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Vänersborgs FK
15.1%

Draw
19.4%

FBK Karlstad
65.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.1%

17.8%

68%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.3%

17.6%

67%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vänersborgs FK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

FBK Karlstad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vänersborgs FK than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for FBK Karlstad than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Vänersborgs FK - FBK Karlstad Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2nd Half (0 - 2)

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 ~ Promotion Group).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vänersborgs FK won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Vänersborgs FK may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, FBK Karlstad is the obvious favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Vänersborgs FK won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:14. (average 1.7:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Vänersborgs FK won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 1.3:2.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vänersborgs FK
Swedish Division 2 - Norra Götaland
20.09.25	Skara - Vänersborgs FK	0:0 ✺
12.09.25	Haga - Vänersborgs FK	0:1 ✺
05.09.25	Vänersborgs FK - Ahlafors	1:1 ✺
29.08.25	Vänersborgs FK - Herrestads	1:0 ✺
23.08.25	Grebbestad - Vänersborgs FK	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 TWTWL
- FBK Karlstad
Swedish Division 2 - Norra Götaland
20.09.25	FBK Karlstad - Tidaholms GoIF	3:1 ✺
14.09.25	Lidkoping - FBK Karlstad	3:2 ✺
07.09.25	FBK Karlstad - Motala	1:2 ✺
29.08.25	Kumla - FBK Karlstad	0:6 ✺
23.08.25	Skara - FBK Karlstad	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 WLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 2 - Norra Götaland
13.04.25	FBK Karlstad - Vänersborgs FK	2:0
29.07.23	Vänersborgs FK - FBK Karlstad	1:4
07.04.23	FBK Karlstad - Vänersborgs FK	3:0
08.09.18	FBK Karlstad - Vänersborgs FK	0:4
19.05.18	Vänersborgs FK - FBK Karlstad	2:1
05.08.17	Vänersborgs FK - FBK Karlstad	1:3
22.04.17	FBK Karlstad - Vänersborgs FK	1:4

Upcoming Matches