Match Info

Division 2 - Norra Götaland - Round 21

Date: 12 September 2025, Friday


	Haga		Vänersborgs FK

	1	X	2
	2.62	3.35	2.42
	2.67	3.03	2.49
	4.90	4.08	1.58	Watch
	2.54	3.44	2.35
	2.23	3.6	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.99 ↑ (2.25)	3.5 ↑ (3.4)	2.31 ↓ (2.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Haga
31.7%

Draw
27.1%

Vänersborgs FK
41.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.7%

26.9%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.5%

25.8%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Haga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Haga's form might have worsened.

Vänersborgs FK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vänersborgs FK's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Haga than the current prediction. (+10.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Haga, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vänersborgs FK than the current prediction. (-10.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vänersborgs FK, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Haga - Vänersborgs FK Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Alkhafaji M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation and 9).

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Haga won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IF Haga
Swedish Division 2 - Norra Götaland
06.09.25	Kumla - Haga	0:0 ✺
29.08.25	Haga - Tord	2:2 ✺
24.08.25	Herrestads - Haga	6:0 ✺
16.08.25	Ahlafors - Haga	2:1 ✺
09.08.25	Haga - FBK Karlstad	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TTLLL
- Vänersborgs FK
Swedish Division 2 - Norra Götaland
05.09.25	Vänersborgs FK - Ahlafors	1:1 ✺
29.08.25	Vänersborgs FK - Herrestads	1:0 ✺
23.08.25	Grebbestad - Vänersborgs FK	4:2 ✺
Svenska Cupen
20.08.25	Vänersborgs FK - Helsingborg	0:1 ✺
Swedish Division 2 - Norra Götaland
15.08.25	Kongahälla - Vänersborgs FK	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 TWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 2 - Norra Götaland
06.06.25	Vänersborgs FK - Haga	0:1

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