Match Info

SWEDEN: DIVISION 2 - NORRA GÖTALAND - ROUND 10

Date: 4 June 2023, Sunday


	Vänersborgs FK		Nordvärmland

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.6	3.4
	1.7	3.65	3.6
	1.78	3.92	3.63
	1.83	3.75	3.25
	1.77	3.92	3.75
	1.8	4	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↑ (1.61)	3.81 ↓ (4.2)	3.54 ↓ (4.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vänersborgs FK
50.7%

Draw
23.7%

Nordvärmland
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.2%

21.9%

20.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58%

21.6%

20.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vänersborgs FK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vänersborgs FK's form might have worsened.

Nordvärmland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vänersborgs FK than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vänersborgs FK, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nordvärmland than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 9 and 14 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Vänersborgs FK won 1.

Recent matches Vänersborgs FK is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Nordvärmland has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Vänersborgs FK is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Vänersborgs FK won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 12-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Vänersborgs FK won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vänersborgs FK
Swedish Division 2 - Norra Götaland
26.05.23	Grebbestad - Vänersborgs FK	0:1 ✺
19.05.23	Vänersborgs FK - Säffle	2:3 ✺
13.05.23	Zenith - Vänersborgs FK	1:2 ✺
05.05.23	Vänersborgs FK - IFK Skövde	2:3 ✺
29.04.23	Torslanda - Vänersborgs FK	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.1 WLWLT
- Nordvärmlands FF
Swedish Division 2 - Norra Götaland
27.05.23	Nordvärmland - Herrestads	0:2 ✺
20.05.23	FBK Karlstad - Nordvärmland	2:0 ✺
14.05.23	Nordvärmland - Lidkoping	1:3 ✺
07.05.23	Gauthiod - Nordvärmland	1:1 ✺
29.04.23	Nordvärmland - Stenungsunds	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 2 - Norra Götaland
27.08.22	Vänersborgs FK - Nordvärmland	3:0
07.05.22	Nordvärmland - Vänersborgs FK	1:0
02.10.21	Vänersborgs FK - Nordvärmland	0:1
27.06.21	Nordvärmland - Vänersborgs FK	2:0
14.06.20	Vänersborgs FK - Nordvärmland	2:2
19.06.19	Vänersborgs FK - Nordvärmland	1:3
18.08.18	Vänersborgs FK - Nordvärmland	1:2

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