Match Info

Eliteserien - Round 5

Date: 3 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Intility Arena (Oslo)

Referee: Hansen T. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Norway	TV2 Play
Serbia	Nova Sport
Slovenia	SportKlub 5
World	Onefootball


	Vålerenga		Brann

	1	X	2
	2.55	4	2.38	Watch
	2.75	3.5	2.37
	2.7	3.75	2.5	Watch
	2.68	3.8	2.52
	2.66	3.74	2.46	Watch
	2.75	3.5	2.4
	2.67	4.02	2.3	Watch
	2.7	3.75	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↓ (2.7)	3.76 ↓ (3.8)	2.43 ↑ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vålerenga
35.5%

Draw
25.3%

Brann
39.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.3%

25.1%

39.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.9%

24.8%

40.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vålerenga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Brann has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vålerenga than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brann than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	40%	40%

Vålerenga - Brann Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Vålerenga will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Brann will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Sjoeng M. (G) 3. Sjatil H. 55. Jarl S. 5. Tshiembe K. 27. Vinicius Nogueira 8. Bjordal H. (C) 29. Ambina F. 10. Lange C. 7. Riisnaes M. 80. Brajanac M. 24. Strand P.	1. Dyngeland M. (G) 26. Fauske Helland E. 3. Knudsen F. 6. Sery Larsen J. 17. Soltvedt J. 19. Gudmundsson E. 10. Kornvig E. 8. Myhre F. 11. Finne B. 20. Heggebo A. 9. Castro N.
Substitutes
2. Borchgrevink C. 15. Hagen E. 6. Hedenstad V. 4. Olsen A. 23. Pallas N. 9. Rijks M. 11. Sorensen E. 1. Storevik J. (G)	12. Borsheim M. (G) 32. Haaland M. 7. Hansen M. 43. Holten R. 39. Laegreid J. 41. Remmem L. 27. Sande M. 15. Torsvik J.
Coaches
Bakke G.	Alexandersson F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
4', 0 - 1, Kornvig E. ⚽, Fauske Helland E. (A),
33', Kornvig E. 🟨,
36', 0 - 2, Gudmundsson E. ⚽, Myhre F. (A),
40', Knudsen F. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
48', 1 - 2, Brajanac M. ⚽, Riisnaes M. (A),
52', Vinicius Nogueira 🟨,
53', 2 - 2, Riisnaes M. ⚽, Sjoeng M. (A),
61', Castro N. ↓, Sande M. ↑,
61', Finne B. ↓, Hansen M. ↑,
61', Gudmundsson E. ↓, Remmem L. ↑,
71', Soltvedt J. ↓, Torsvik J. ↑,
72', Fauske Helland E. 🟨,
75', Strand P. 🟨,
82', 2 - 3, Sande M. ⚽, Torsvik J. (A),
83', Lange C. ↓, Sorensen E. ↑,
87', Bjordal H. ↓, Rijks M. ↑,
87', Strand P. ↓, Hagen E. ↑,
90', Jarl S. ↓, Olsen A. ↑,
90+5', 2 - 4, Heggebo A. (Pen),

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 7 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vålerenga won 1.

Vålerenga has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Brann is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Vålerenga may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Vålerenga: Bully O. (Knock) Thorvaldsen F. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Brann: Hellan M. (Shoulder Injury) Mathisen U. (Groin Injury) Opsahl S. (Foot Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Vålerenga won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 34:30. (average 1.7:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Vålerenga won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 22:17. (average 2:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vålerenga Fotball
Norwegian Eliteserien
27.04.25	Kristiansund - Vålerenga	0:2 ✺
21.04.25	Vålerenga - Rosenborg	0:2 ✺
09.04.25	Fredrikstad - Vålerenga	2:0 ✺
06.04.25	Sarpsborg 08 - Vålerenga	1:1 ✺
30.03.25	Vålerenga - Viking Stavanger	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WLLTW
- SK Brann
Norwegian Eliteserien
27.04.25	Brann - Bryne	3:2 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
24.04.25	Bjarg - Brann	0:2 ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
21.04.25	Strømsgodset - Brann	1:2 ✺
10.04.25	Brann - Strømsgodset	2:1 ✺
06.04.25	Brann - Tromsø	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
22.03.25	Brann - Vålerenga	2:1
27.02.24	Vålerenga - Brann	0:3
Norwegian Eliteserien
08.10.23	Vålerenga - Brann	1:2
Norwegian NM Cup
12.07.23	Vålerenga - Brann	3:2
Norwegian Eliteserien
22.04.23	Brann - Vålerenga	3:1
Club Friendly
03.03.23	Vålerenga - Brann	1:3
Norwegian Eliteserien
31.10.21	Vålerenga - Brann	1:0

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