Match Info

Eliteserien - Round 24

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Intility Arena (Oslo)

Referee: Higraff D. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	TV2, TV2 Play
Serbia	Arena Sport 6
World	Onefootball


	Vålerenga		Tromsø

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.4	2.35	Watch
	2.9	3.5	2.25
	2.85	3.55	2.35
	2.95	3.7	2.4
	3.19	3.41	2.19	Watch
	2.94	3.44	2.38	Watch
	2.95	3.45	2.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.95 ↑ (2.74)	3.49 ↑ (3.41)	2.31 ↓ (2.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vålerenga
32%

Draw
27.1%

Tromsø
40.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.9%

28.1%

37%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.7%

28.7%

36.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vålerenga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Tromsø has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vålerenga than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tromsø than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	30%	50%

Vålerenga - Tromsø Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Vålerenga will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Tromsø will win (votes: 5 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tromsø: 19% – 81%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tromsø (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Hedvall O. (G) 6. Hedenstad V. 4. Olsen A. 37. Nasberg I. 27. Vinicius Nogueira 8. Bjordal H. (C) 29. Ambina F. 10. Lange C. 26. Thorvaldsen F. 7. Ofkir M. 11. Sorensen E.	1. Haugaard J. (G) 4. Skjaervik V. 21. Guddal T. 25. Kinteh A. S. 2. Cornic L. 20. Edvardsson D. 11. Jenssen R. (C) 29. Thongla-Iad Warneryd A. 6. Hjerto-Dahl J. 15. Erlien V. 9. Ieltsin Camoes
Substitutes
15. Hagen E. 55. Jarl S. 19. Meliga P. 23. Pallas N. 3. Sjatil H. 22. Sjovold S. 1. Storevik J. (G) 24. Strand P. 5. Tshiembe K.	18. Braut D. 23. Husebo J. 5. Jenssen A. 24. Kristiansen R. 7. Larsen L. O. 27. Lauvli O. (G) 17. Mikkelsen A. 14. Prestmo S. 30. Vadebu I.
Coaches
Bakke G.	Vik J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
59', Thorvaldsen F. ↓, Meliga P. ↑,
59', Sorensen E. ↓, Strand P. ↑,
62', Hedvall O. 🟨,
64', Hjerto-Dahl J. ↓, Larsen L. O. ↑,
70', Strand P. 🟨,
71', Hedenstad V. ↓, Sjatil H. ↑,
73', Thongla-Iad Warneryd A. ↓, Vadebu I. ↑,
73', Erlien V. ↓, Braut D. ↑,
75', Lange C. 🟨,
77', Sjatil H. 🟨,
80', Meliga P. 🟨,
88', Bjordal H. ↓, Hagen E. ↑,
88', Lange C. ↓, Sjovold S. ↑,
88', 1 - 0, Ofkir M. ⚽,
90+2', Cornic L. 🟨,
90+2', Cornic L. ↓, Mikkelsen A. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vålerenga won 2.

Vålerenga is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Tromsø is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Vålerenga may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Vålerenga: Bully O. (Knee Injury) Grundetjern M. (Foot Injury) Tshiembe K. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Tromsø: Innvaer S. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Vålerenga won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 30:27. (average 1.5:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Vålerenga won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 20:15. (average 1.7:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vålerenga Fotball
Norwegian Eliteserien
28.09.25	Molde - Vålerenga	4:1 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
23.09.25	Vålerenga - Fredrikstad	1:2 ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
20.09.25	Vålerenga - KFUM-Kameratene Oslo	1:1 ✺
13.09.25	Brann - Vålerenga	3:2 ✺
30.08.25	Vålerenga - Bryne	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLTLW
- Tromsø IL
Norwegian Eliteserien
28.09.25	Tromsø - Strømsgodset	3:1 ✺
21.09.25	Tromsø - Hamarkameratene	1:0 ✺
14.09.25	Bryne - Tromsø	0:2 ✺
31.08.25	Tromsø - KFUM-Kameratene Oslo	2:0 ✺
24.08.25	Molde - Tromsø	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Eliteserien
31.05.25	Tromsø - Vålerenga	2:1
Club Friendly
15.03.25	Vålerenga - Tromsø	1:4
Norwegian NM Cup
01.05.24	Vålerenga - Tromsø	1:0 ET
Club Friendly
17.03.24	Vålerenga - Tromsø	3:1
Norwegian Eliteserien
03.12.23	Vålerenga - Tromsø	1:1
09.07.23	Tromsø - Vålerenga	0:0
21.08.22	Vålerenga - Tromsø	1:0

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