Match Info

Division 3 - Group 4 - Round 16

Date: 16 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Intility Arena (Oslo)


	Vålerenga 2		Gneist

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.75	2.35
	2.61	4.01	2.12
	4.43	5.13	1.51	Watch
	2.7	4.22	2.11
	2.25	3.8	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.86 ↑ (2.27)	4.18 ↑ (3.8)	2.1 ↓ (2.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vålerenga 2
32.8%

Draw
22.4%

Gneist
44.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

23.9%

36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3%

23.1%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vålerenga 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vålerenga 2's form might have worsened.

Gneist has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gneist's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vålerenga 2 than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vålerenga 2, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gneist than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gneist, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Vålerenga 2 - Gneist Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Hellevik Lie J. ⚽,
15', 1 - 1, Apold-Aasen L. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
67', 1 - 2, Fandino M. ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation and 6).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Vålerenga 2 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Vålerenga 2 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vålerenga 2 Fotball
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 4
09.08.25	Fyllingsdalen - Vålerenga 2	3:0 ✺
02.08.25	Vålerenga 2 - Os TF	3:2 ✺
27.07.25	Førde - Vålerenga 2	3:3 ✺
21.07.25	Vålerenga 2 - Åsane 2	7:1 ✺
21.06.25	Gneist - Vålerenga 2	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.4 LWTWL
- IL Gneist
Norwegian NM Cup
13.08.25	Gneist - Åsane	2:3
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 4
09.08.25	Gneist - Sandefjord 2	2:2 ✺
02.08.25	Askøy - Gneist	2:2 ✺
26.07.25	Gneist - Fjøra	1:1 ✺
22.07.25	Loddefjord - Gneist	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LTTTT

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 3 - Group 4
21.06.25	Gneist - Vålerenga 2	3:2

Vålerenga 2 - Gneist: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide