Match Info

NORWAY: Division 2 - Group 2 - Round 11

Date: 17 June 2024, Monday

Location: Intility Arena (Oslo)


	Vålerenga 2		Tromsdalen

	1	X	2
	7	6	1.26
	8.5	6	1.22
	7	6.5	1.28
	8.33	7.06	1.22
	8	5.8	1.2
	6.31	6.05	1.3	Watch
	7.2	5.8	1.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.48 ↑ (5.73)	6.17 ↑ (5.64)	1.25 ↓ (1.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vålerenga 2
12.2%

Draw
14.8%

Tromsdalen
73%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16%

16.3%

67.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.6%

15.9%

69.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vålerenga 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Tromsdalen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tromsdalen's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vålerenga 2 than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tromsdalen than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	12.5%	75%

Vålerenga 2 - Tromsdalen Predictions

Users Predictions: Tromsdalen will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Strand-Kolbjornsen S. (G) 18. Bully O. 14. Eie B. 38. Fasika I. 36. Granli J. 34. Jukleroed S. 33. Obasi O. 26. Opsahl G. 20. Renshuslokken J. 27. Ronning A. (C) 2. Samson H.	1. Kamsvag K. (G) 10. Egerton E. 9. Hafstad D. 5. Hafstad T. 6. Hansen M. 28. Johansen P. 23. Larsen M. 4. Laugsand S. (C) 14. Pedersen S. 20. Selnes I. K. 8. Skogvoll E.
Substitutes
5. Kerdoe M. 28. Morrow B. 6. Opesanmi I. 7. Pajic E. 40. Strom U. (G) 8. Winje I.	24. Breivik C. 27. Celius U. R. 31. Kristoffersen O. 21. Ness E. 7. Swaleh K. 40. Tollefsen M. (G) 15. Weber J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
20', 0 - 1, Larsen M. ⚽,
24', 1 - 1, Jukleroed S. (Pen),
35', Opsahl G. 🟨,
45+2', 1 - 2, Skogvoll E. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
47', 1 - 3, Egerton E. ⚽,
52', Fasika I. 🟨,
60', Jukleroed S. ↓, Kerdoe M. ↑,
61', 2 - 3, Obasi O. ⚽,
77', Obasi O. 🟨,
78', Skogvoll E. ↓, Breivik C. ↑,
81', Hansen M. 🟨,
83', Selnes I. K. ↓, Swaleh K. ↑,
87', Eie B. ↓, Winje I. ↑,
90+2', Hafstad D. ↓, Ness E. ↑,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 5).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Vålerenga 2 won 2.

Vålerenga 2 has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Tromsdalen is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Tromsdalen could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Tromsdalen is certain favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Vålerenga 2 won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Vålerenga 2 won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vålerenga 2 Fotball
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 2
10.06.24	Vålerenga 2 - Follo	0:3 ✺
02.06.24	Ullensaker Kisa - Vålerenga 2	2:1 ✺
27.05.24	Vålerenga 2 - Skeid	1:3 ✺
16.05.24	Kjelsås - Vålerenga 2	3:1 ✺
12.05.24	Vålerenga 2 - Alta	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Tromsdalen Fotball
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 2
08.06.24	Tromsdalen - Kjelsås	4:1 ✺
02.06.24	Follo - Tromsdalen	3:1 ✺
26.05.24	Tromsdalen - Strømmen	3:2 ✺
16.05.24	Strindheim - Tromsdalen	4:1 ✺
11.05.24	Tromsdalen - Gjøvik-Lyn	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 2 - Group 2
03.10.22	Tromsdalen - Vålerenga 2	0:0
26.05.22	Vålerenga 2 - Tromsdalen	3:1
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
30.09.21	Vålerenga 2 - Tromsdalen	0:2
19.08.21	Tromsdalen - Vålerenga 2	4:1
09.08.20	Vålerenga 2 - Tromsdalen	2:1
05.10.15	Tromsdalen - Vålerenga 2	2:2

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