Match Info

Division 3 - Group 1 - Round 12

Date: 26 June 2026, Friday

Location: Intility Arena (Oslo)


	Vålerenga 2		Union Carl Berner

	1	X	2
	3.10	3.90	1.85
	3.05	3.85	1.82
	3.00	4.08	1.91
	3.07	4.42	1.87	Watch
	2.85	4.00	1.89
	2.95	4.62	1.90
Avarage Now (Initially)	3 ↓ (3.75)	4.15 ↑ (4.1)	1.87 ↑ (1.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vålerenga 2
30.1%

Draw
21.8%

Union Carl Berner
48.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.5%

21.5%

55%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.9%

20.9%

56.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vålerenga 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vålerenga 2's performance.

Union Carl Berner has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Union Carl Berner might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vålerenga 2 than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vålerenga 2 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Union Carl Berner than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Union Carl Berner could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	33.3%	33.3%

Vålerenga 2 - Union Carl Berner Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Vålerenga 2 will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Union Carl Berner will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
49', 1 - 0, Gomes M. ⚽,
68', 2 - 0, Usman T. ⚽,
71', 2 - 1, Unwin O. ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 and 6).

Recent performances by Vålerenga 2 have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Union Carl Berner is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Vålerenga 2 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Valerenga 2	22	13	1	8	52:56	-4	40
7	Union Carl Berner	22	11	2	9	40:32	8	35

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vålerenga 2 Fotball
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 1
21.06.26	Ready - Vålerenga 2	1:2 ✺
06.06.26	Vålerenga 2 - Nordstrand	3:2 ✺
31.05.26	Lokomotiv Oslo - Vålerenga 2	0:1 ✺
25.05.26	Vålerenga 2 - Heming	1:6 ✺
15.05.26	KFUM 2 - Vålerenga 2	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.2 WWWLL
- Union Carl Berner
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 1
20.06.26	Union Carl Berner - Grei	2:1 ✺
13.06.26	Konnerud - Union Carl Berner	0:1 ✺
30.05.26	Heming - Union Carl Berner	2:0 ✺
25.05.26	Union Carl Berner - Ullern	1:0 ✺
14.05.26	Lokomotiv Oslo - Union Carl Berner	0:8 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWLWW

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