Match Info

Date: 30 January 2022, Sunday


	Vélez		Villanovense

	1	X	2
	2.45	2.87	2.75
	2.6	2.8	2.75
	2.55	2.95	2.65
	2.54	2.87	3.12
	2.57	3.02	2.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↑ (2.25)	2.9 ↓ (3.2)	2.81 ↓ (3.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vélez
36%

Draw
31.5%

Villanovense
32.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

28.9%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.5%

19.3%

44.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vélez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vélez's form might have worsened.

Villanovense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vélez than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vélez that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villanovense than the current prediction. (+12.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Villanovense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Vélez - Villanovense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 7 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Group 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs)).

Recent matches Vélez is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Villanovense is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Vélez could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Villanovense have a series of home games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Vélez won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vélez CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
09.01.22	Córdoba - Vélez	4:1 ✺
19.12.21	Vélez - San Roque de Lepe	1:0 ✺
12.12.21	Antequera - Vélez	3:1 ✺
05.12.21	Vélez - Mensajero	3:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
02.12.21	Vélez - Las Palmas	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWLWL
- CF Villanovense
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
23.01.22	Villanovense - Ceuta	0:1 ✺
09.01.22	Villanovense - Panadería Pulido	6:0 ✺
19.12.21	Las Palmas B - Villanovense	1:1 ✺
12.12.21	Villanovense - Mérida AD	1:0 ✺
04.12.21	Villanovense - Montijo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
12.09.21	Villanovense - Vélez	2:0

Vélez - Villanovense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide