Match Info

Reserve League - Apertura - Round 10

Date: 22 April 2025, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Vélez Sársfield 2		Deportivo Riestra 2

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.33	4.2	8.5
	1.31	4.7	8.2	Watch
	1.4	4.4	8.05
				Watch
	1.33	4.1	8
	1.37	4.52	8.6
	1.35	4.5	7.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↑ (1.31)	4.4 ↓ (4.5)	8.16 ↓ (9.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vélez Sársfield 2
68%

Draw
20.8%

Deportivo Riestra 2
11.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.9%

20.3%

9.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.9%

19.5%

9.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vélez Sársfield 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Deportivo Riestra 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vélez Sársfield 2 than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Riestra 2 than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Vélez Sársfield 2 - Deportivo Riestra 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
33', 1 - 0, Ramirez B. ⚽,
44', 2 - 0, Mamani M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', Villafane R. 🟥,
61', Cavallera R. 🟥,
68', 3 - 0, Godoy D. ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Reserve League (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Reserve League (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Vélez 2 is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Deportivo Riestra 2 is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Vélez 2 is absolute favorite.

Our prediction for today's Vélez 2 to win the game is with odds 1.31.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Vélez 2 won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:1 (average 1.5:0.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Vélez 2 won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vélez Sársfield 2
Argentinian Reserve League
15.04.25	Atlético Tucumán 2 - Vélez Sársfield 2	1:1 ✺
08.04.25	Vélez Sársfield 2 - San Martín de San Juan 2	2:0 ✺
01.04.25	Lanús 2 - Vélez Sársfield 2	1:4 ✺
27.03.25	Vélez Sársfield 2 - Godoy Cruz 2	1:1 ✺
21.03.25	Independiente 2 - Vélez Sársfield 2	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TWWTW
- Deportivo Riestra 2
Argentinian Reserve League
15.04.25	Deportivo Riestra 2 - River Plate 2	1:1 ✺
08.04.25	Gimnasia La Plata 2 - Deportivo Riestra 2	3:1 ✺
03.04.25	Deportivo Riestra 2 - Talleres de Córdoba 2	3:1 ✺
26.03.25	Sarmiento de Junín 2 - Deportivo Riestra 2	1:1 ✺
20.03.25	Deportivo Riestra 2 - Rosario Central 2	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 TLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Reserve League
17.09.24	Deportivo Riestra 2 - Vélez Sársfield 2	1:1
10.04.24	Vélez Sársfield 2 - Deportivo Riestra 2	2:0

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