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Current Win Probability
Völsungur 15.5%
Draw 17.7%
Afturelding 66.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
12.8%
17.4%
69.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
12.3%
16.8%
72.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Völsungur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
Afturelding has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Völsungur than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Afturelding than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Afturelding could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Völsungur - Afturelding Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Stefansson S. (G) 9. Adalsteinsson E. 8. Arranz F. 14. Cardenas X. 4. Guardia J. 77. Ketilsson I. 5. Kristjansson A. (C) 17. Kristjansson A. 21. Mbye M. 11. Sorensson G. 18. Steingrimsson A.
1. Johannesson A. (G) 3. Andresson A. 16. Barkarson B. B. 11. Bjarkason O. 25. Bjarnason G. 9. Holtan J. 33. Hoti A. 19. Hugason S. 8. Kooistra B. 6. Saevarsson A. (C) 2. Saevarsson B.
Substitutes
97. Baldursson T. 13. Brynjulfsson J. 91. Hjalmsson Y. 19. Johannsson T. G. 7. Jonsson H. 30. Jonsson H. 3. Lund D.
10. Cogic E. 27. Cogic E. 79. Dadason R. 4. Sigmarsson G. 85. Sigurkarlsson K. (G) 14. Thorkelsson D. 24. Thrainsson T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 4)
11', 0 - 1, Bjarkason O. ⚽,
19', 0 - 2, Barkarson B. B. ⚽,
25', 1 - 2, Adalsteinsson E. ⚽, Mbye M. (A),
29', 1 - 3, Bjarkason O. ⚽,
31', Cardenas X. 🟨,
32', 1 - 4, Bjarkason O. ⚽, Saevarsson B. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Kristjansson A. ↓, Johannsson T. G. ↑,
46', Kristjansson A. ↓, Lund D. ↑,
46', Arranz F. ↓, Baldursson T. ↑,
46', Baldursson T. 🟨,
50', 1 - 5, Andresson A. ⚽,
58', Hugason S. 🟨,
59', Saevarsson B. ↓, Sigmarsson G. ↑,
59', Holtan J. ↓, Cogic E. ↑,
59', Hoti A. ↓, Thrainsson T. ↑,
61', Steingrimsson A. 🟨,
62', Adalsteinsson E. 🟨,
63', Steingrimsson A. ↓, Brynjulfsson J. ↑,
64', Ketilsson I. 🟨,
69', Adalsteinsson E. 🟥,
74', Hugason S. ↓, Dadason R. ↑,
74', 1 - 6, Dadason R. ⚽,
79', Ketilsson I. ↓, Jonsson H. ↑,
88', Kooistra B. 🟨,
90+1', Lund D. 🟨,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 11 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Besta deild karla).
Völsungur has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Afturelding is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Afturelding may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Afturelding is the undisputed favorite.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Völsungur won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:6. (average 1.8:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Völsungur won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 3:1).
Watch
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Stefansson S. (G) 
Arranz F. 
Mbye M. 
Holtan J. 
Kooistra B. 
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