Match Info

Icelandic Cup - Quarter-finals

Date: 10 June 2026, Wednesday

Location: Varmárvöllur (Mosfellsbaer)


	Afturelding		Stjarnan

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.60	3.70	2.10
	2.60	3.90	2.11	Watch
	2.62	4.62	2.23
	7.29	4.19	1.42	Watch
	2.60	3.80	2.15
	2.72	3.94	2.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.41 ↓ (3.5)	4.03 ↓ (4.13)	2.04 ↑ (1.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Afturelding
28.4%

Draw
24.1%

Stjarnan
47.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.1%

22.1%

51.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.2%

22%

51.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Afturelding has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Stjarnan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Afturelding than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stjarnan than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Afturelding - Stjarnan Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Stjarnan will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Johannesson A. (G) 3. Andresson A. 16. Barkarson B. B. 11. Bjarkason O. 9. Holtan J. 33. Hoti A. 8. Kooistra B. 5. Petursson J. 6. Saevarsson A. (C) 2. Saevarsson B. 4. Sigmarsson G.	12. Olafsson A. (G) 22. Atlason E. 99. Bjarnason A. 17. Brink H. O. 27. Dankerlui D. 11. Ingason B. 6. Ingimarsson S. T. 3. Kjeldsen G. 5. Kristjansson G. (C) 18. Nokkvason G. 32. Orvarsson O.
Substitutes
25. Bjarnason G. 10. Cogic E. 27. Cogic E. 79. Dadason R. 23. Haraldsson A. H. 19. Hugason S. 85. Sigurkarlsson K. (G) 14. Thorkelsson D. 24. Thrainsson T.	2. Aegisson H. 1. Bergmann Gylfason D. (G) 36. Bjornsson A. 7. Eggertsson O. 33. Gardarsson B. 14. Hauksson B. 30. Martin M. A. D. 4. Thorisson T. 23. Waren B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Aegisson H. ⚽,
27', Bjarnason A. ↓, Eggertsson O. ↑,
45+2', Brink H. O. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Petursson J. ↓, Thrainsson T. ↑,
60', Eggertsson O. 🟨,
62', Aegisson H. ↓, Bjornsson A. ↑,
64', 1 - 1, Saevarsson B. ⚽, Bjarkason O. (A),
66', 2 - 1, Kooistra B. ⚽, Barkarson B. B. (A),
75', 3 - 1, Saevarsson B. ⚽,
76', 🟨,
84', Saevarsson B. ↓, Bjarnason G. ↑,
84', Brink H. O. ↓, Waren B. ↑,
84', Dankerlui D. ↓, Thorisson T. ↑,
86', Holtan J. ↓, Dadason R. ↑,
88', Saevarsson A. 🟨,
89', 🟨,
90', Nokkvason G. 🟨,
90', Kristjansson G. 🟨,
90+3', Dadason R. 🟨,
90+6', Sigmarsson G. ↓, Hugason S. ↑,

Preview

Afturelding is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Stjarnan has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Afturelding may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Stjarnan might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Afturelding won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 1.7:2.7).

Including home match between the teams, Afturelding won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Afturelding
Icelandic Division 1
05.06.26	HK Kópavogur - Afturelding	2:1 ✺
31.05.26	Afturelding - Fylkir	5:1 ✺
27.05.26	Grindavik - Afturelding	1:3 ✺
22.05.26	Afturelding - Throttur Reykjavik	4:3 ✺
18.05.26	Grótta - Afturelding	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LWWWW
- UMF Stjarnan
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
31.05.26	Thor Akureyri - Stjarnan	1:3 ✺
26.05.26	Stjarnan - Vikingur Reykjavik	1:3 ✺
22.05.26	Stjarnan - Fram	0:1 ✺
17.05.26	Keflavík - Stjarnan	1:1 ✺
Icelandic Cup
13.05.26	Stjarnan - KR Reykjavík	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Icelandic Besta-deild karla
28.07.25	Stjarnan - Afturelding	4:1
05.05.25	Afturelding - Stjarnan	3:0
Icelandic League Cup
10.02.23	Stjarnan - Afturelding	4:1

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