The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Völsungur 9.3%
Draw 15%
Fylkir 75.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
19.4%
22.3%
58.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
18.8%
21.6%
60.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Völsungur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Völsungur's form might have worsened.
Fylkir has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fylkir's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Völsungur than the current prediction. (+9.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Völsungur, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fylkir than the current prediction. (-15.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fylkir, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Völsungur - Fylkir Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Stefansson S. (G) 8. Arranz F. 14. Cardenas X. 7. Davidsson D. 23. Gudmundsson E. 67. Helgason B. 77. Ketilsson I. 5. Kristjansson A. (C) 21. Mbye M. 18. Steingrimsson A. 13. Thorsteinsson S.
1. Helgason O. (G) 77. Arnarsson B. 3. Asthorsson A. 14. Gunnarsson T. 7. Hilmarsson M. 4. Jonsson H. 6. Leosson G. 92. Sigfusson K. 5. Stefansson O. (C) 8. Traustason D. 70. Tyrfingsson G.
Substitutes
97. Baldursson T. 91. Hjalmsson Y. 19. Johannsson T. G. 11. Jonsson H. 40. Jonsson H. 17. Kristjansson A. 3. Lund D.
17. Eythorsson B. 19. Gislason A. 23. Gudbjornsson A. 18. Gunnarsson N. 20. Oskarsson T. 30. Palsson S. (G) 9. Wohler E.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
11', Thorsteinsson S. ↓, Kristjansson A. ↑,
27', Arranz F. 🟨,
29', 0 - 1, Tyrfingsson G. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Arranz F. ↓, Baldursson T. ↑,
63', Traustason D. ↓, Wohler E. ↑,
67', Steingrimsson A. ↓, Lund D. ↑,
77', Hilmarsson M. ↓, Eythorsson B. ↑,
77', Gunnarsson T. ↓, Gunnarsson N. ↑,
78', Gunnarsson N. 🟨,
87', Helgason B. 🟨,
88', Davidsson D. ↓, Johannsson T. G. ↑,
88', Sigfusson K. ↓, Gislason A. ↑,
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 11 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
Völsungur is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Fylkir is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Recently, Fylkir has had a series of home games.
In this match, Fylkir is the undisputed favorite.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Völsungur won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:5. (average 1.5:2.5).
Including home match between the teams, Völsungur won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4.