Match Info

FINLAND: Ykkonen

Date: 17 August 2024, Saturday

Location: Lemonsoft Stadion (Vaasa)


	VIFK		Keski-Uusimaa

	1	X	2
	2.63	3.5	2.25
	2.65	3.5	2.15
	2.7	3.6	2.25
	2.66	3.8	2.16
	2.7	3.75	2.1
	2.81	3.74	2.2
	2.7	3.6	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.69 ↓ (3.37)	3.64 ↓ (3.8)	2.19 ↑ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

VIFK
33.7%

Draw
24.9%

Keski-Uusimaa
41.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.9%

23.8%

49.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.2%

23.1%

50.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

VIFK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in VIFK's performance.

Keski-Uusimaa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Keski-Uusimaa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for VIFK than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with VIFK that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Keski-Uusimaa than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Keski-Uusimaa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

VIFK - Keski Uusimaa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vironen A. (G) 3. Baseme A. 2. Birhane M. (C) 14. Doudi A. M. 6. F. Gatambyie 15. Kautonen T. 29. Myllari W. 5. Nuutinen A. 27. Osterblad F. 7. Pahkasalo A. 19. Xhosa S.	1. Barton R. (G) 18. Inha N. 19. Karsama I. 31. Lappalainen E. 24. Leinonen N. 9. Lindholm A. 5. Makila R. (C) 77. Musa A. 8. Pllana A. 2. Sainio A. 17. Tiainen S.
Substitutes
16. Forsbacka R. 9. Hammar R. 18. Hiekkanen E. 28. Mantymaki V. 10. Morrissey S. 12. Nygard W. (G) 17. Puska E.	3. Formisano M. 15. Hahl H. 13. Kobayashi M. 36. Romppanen S. 11. Virtanen J. 4. Zahedi A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
7', 0 - 1, Pllana A. ⚽,
41', 0 - 2, Lindholm A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Myllari W. ↓, Hammar R. ↑,
46', F. Gatambyie ↓, Morrissey S. ↑,
48', 0 - 3, Karsama I. ⚽,
61', Nuutinen A. ↓, Hiekkanen E. ↑,
61', Osterblad F. ↓, Forsbacka R. ↑,
63', Karsama I. ↓, Virtanen J. ↑,
67', 1 - 3, Pahkasalo A. ⚽,
75', Lindholm A. ↓, Hahl H. ↑,
75', Pllana A. ↓, Zahedi A. ↑,
77', Birhane M. 🟨,
84', 1 - 4, Virtanen J. ⚽,
86', Lappalainen E. ↓, Formisano M. ↑,
86', Leinonen N. ↓, Romppanen S. ↑,
86', Romppanen S. 🟨,
90+1', Pahkasalo A. ↓, Mantymaki V. ↑,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 11 in the zone Ykkonen (Relegation Group: ) and 7 in the zone Ykkonen (Relegation Group: )).

VIFK is Ykkonen (Relegation Group )

Recent matches VIFK is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Keski-Uusimaa is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Keski-Uusimaa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Keski-Uusimaa will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches VIFK won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VIFK
Finnish Ykkonen
09.08.24	Vaajakoski - VIFK	1:1 ✺
04.08.24	VIFK - Jazz Pori	2:3 ✺
28.07.24	Klubi 04 - VIFK	9:3 ✺
20.07.24	VIFK - Atlantis Helsinki	2:0 ✺
12.07.24	JJK Jyväskylä - VIFK	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 TLLWT
- Pallokerho Keski-Uusimaa
Finnish Ykkonen
10.08.24	Keski-Uusimaa - Espoon Palloseura	1:1 ✺
03.08.24	RoPS - Keski-Uusimaa	2:3 ✺
27.07.24	Keski-Uusimaa - OLS	3:0 ✺
20.07.24	KuPS Akatemia - Keski-Uusimaa	1:2 ✺
13.07.24	Keski-Uusimaa - KPV Kokkola	4:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Ykkonen
02.06.24	Keski-Uusimaa - VIFK	2:2

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