Match Info

BRAZIL: PAULISTA A4 - ROUND 11

Date: 10 March 2024, Sunday


	VOCEM		Jabaquara

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.1	3.9
	1.87	3.12	3.86
	1.82	3.3	4.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↑ (1.68)	3.17 ↓ (3.38)	3.96 ↓ (4.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

VOCEM
48.9%

Draw
28.4%

Jabaquara
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.3%

27%

18.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.3%

26%

18%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

VOCEM has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that VOCEM's form might have worsened.

Jabaquara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for VOCEM than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for VOCEM, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jabaquara than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A4 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 14).

VOCEM is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Jabaquara is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Jabaquara could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match VOCEM is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vila Operária Clube Esporte Mariano
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4
06.03.24	VOCEM - Francana	1:2 ✺
02.03.24	America SP - VOCEM	0:1 ✺
28.02.24	VOCEM - Joseense	3:0 ✺
25.02.24	VOCEM - XV de Jaú	0:0 ✺
21.02.24	SKA Brasil - VOCEM	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 LWWTW
- Jabaquara AC
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4
06.03.24	SKA Brasil - Jabaquara	2:0 ✺
02.03.24	Jabaquara - Joseense	4:0 ✺
28.02.24	Jabaquara - Independente de Limeira	1:2 ✺
24.02.24	Penapolense - Jabaquara	4:1 ✺
21.02.24	Jabaquara - XV de Jaú	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWLLL

VOCEM - Jabaquara: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide