The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Jabaquara 46.1%
Draw 28.8%
Independente de Limeira 25.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.8%
29.2%
26%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.6%
24.5%
31%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jabaquara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
Independente de Limeira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jabaquara than the current prediction. (-8.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jabaquara that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independente de Limeira than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Independente de Limeira could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
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Preview
In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 and 15 in the zone Relegation).
Recent matches Jabaquara is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Independente is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Jabaquara will have a small advantage in this match.