Match Info

Derde Divisie - Round 9

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	VVSB		Blauw Geel 38

	1	X	2
	2.00	3.60	2.87
	2.02	3.50	2.85
	2.06	3.50	2.94
	2.08	3.72	2.92	Watch
	2.10	4.08	2.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↑ (1.73)	3.68 ↓ (4.3)	2.89 ↓ (3.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

VVSB
44.1%

Draw
24.6%

Blauw Geel 38
31.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

52.8%

21.3%

25.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.4%

21.5%

25.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

VVSB has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that VVSB's form might have worsened.

Blauw Geel 38 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Blauw Geel 38's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for VVSB than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for VVSB, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Blauw Geel 38 than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Blauw Geel 38, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

VVSB - Blauw Geel 38 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

(0 - 2)

Preview

Crucial home points are at stake for a lower-table team looking to climb out of danger (ranked 15th in the Derde Divisie (Relegation) and 10th).

Recent results have been tough for VVSB (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Blauw Geel has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

VVSB could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Recently, VVSB has faced a series of away games on the road.

VVSB carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, VVSB has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 8:8 (averaging 2:2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for VVSB against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 6:3 goals (averaging 3:1.5 per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VVSB
Dutch Derde Divisie
26.09.26	Roosendaal - VVSB	3:1 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
22.09.26	Rijnvogels - VVSB	0:1 ✺
Dutch Derde Divisie
12.09.26	Noordwijk - VVSB	2:0 ✺
30.08.26	Groene Ster - VVSB	3:3 ✺
22.08.26	VVSB - UDI 19	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWLTL
- Blauw Geel 38
Dutch Derde Divisie
04.10.26	Blauw Geel 38 - UNA	1:1 ✺
20.09.26	Blauw Geel 38 - Dongen	3:1 ✺
12.09.26	Roosendaal - Blauw Geel 38	1:3 ✺
06.09.26	Blauw Geel 38 - GOES	2:2 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
01.09.26	Sportlust 46 - Blauw Geel 38	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 TWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Derde Divisie
28.03.26	VVSB - Blauw Geel 38	3:1
25.10.25	Blauw Geel 38 - VVSB	2:0
01.04.23	VVSB - Blauw Geel 38	3:2
08.10.22	Blauw Geel 38 - VVSB	3:2

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VVSB
Dutch KNVB Beker
28.10.26	VVSB - EVV Echt	✺

VVSB - Blauw Geel 38