Match Info

FINLAND: Ykkonen

Date: 12 May 2024, Sunday


	Vaajakoski		OLS

	1	X	2
	4.75	4.5	1.5
	4.4	4.2	1.53
	5	4.5	1.5
	5.95	4.42	1.49
	4.75	4.5	1.5
	4.86	4.5	1.51
	4.8	4.7	1.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.93 ↑ (4.04)	4.47 ↑ (4.33)	1.5 ↓ (1.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vaajakoski
18.6%

Draw
20.4%

OLS
61%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.3%

20.8%

56.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.6%

20.1%

58.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vaajakoski has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

OLS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vaajakoski than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for OLS than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	25%	75%

Vaajakoski - OLS Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. OLS will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Tuokkola V. (G) 5. Halonen H. 30. Hanslian B. 17. Kovaqi G. 14. Montonen B. 8. Niemela M. 7. Pasanen J. 3. Sarkkinen J. (C) 12. Sydanmaa M. 19. Verkko M. 4. Voikar L.	23. Pentti J. (G) 28. Kekonen N. 33. Korkko J. 26. Orjala N. 51. Paananen J. 48. Parkkila O. 6. Peltola A. 47. Raittinen E. (C) 44. Saarela E. 16. Salmensuu O. 21. Salo R.
Substitutes
9. Hakkinen R. 24. Liimatainen M. 2. Pirttinen N. 1. Poltto J. (G) 11. Salim S. 20. Simsek B. 27. Suutarinen L.	80. Rafinha 53. Raisanen A. 45. Saarikoski V. 59. Sillanpaa O. (G) 52. Torniainen A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
19', 0 - 1, Saarela E. ⚽,
32', 0 - 2, Korkko J. ⚽,
41', 0 - 3, Peltola A. ⚽,
44', Halonen H. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Montonen B. ↓, Simsek B. ↑,
46', Verkko M. ↓, Suutarinen L. ↑,
47', Sarkkinen J. 🟨,
60', Pentti J. 🟥,
62', Korkko J. ↓, Sillanpaa O. ↑,
69', Kovaqi G. ↓, Salim S. ↑,
70', 1 - 3, Voikar L. ⚽,
71', Raittinen E. 🟨,
74', Paananen J. ↓, Saarikoski V. ↑,
79', Pasanen J. ↓, Hakkinen R. ↑,
79', Sydanmaa M. ↓, Liimatainen M. ↑,
83', Parkkila O. 🟨,
89', Salmensuu O. ↓, Torniainen A. ↑,
89', Peltola A. ↓, Raisanen A. ↑,
90+4', Hakkinen R. 🟨,
90+4', Voikar L. 🟨,
90+4', Saarikoski V. 🟨,

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 in the zone Ykkonen (Relegation Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Ykkonen (Championship Group: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Vaajakoski won 2.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

OLS could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match OLS is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Vaajakoski won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Vaajakoski won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Vaajakoski
Finnish Cup
08.05.24	Vaajakoski - KTP Kotka	0:5 ✺
Finnish Ykkonen
28.04.24	Vaajakoski - Keski-Uusimaa	4:3 ✺
20.04.24	KPV Kokkola - Vaajakoski	3:1 ✺
Finnish Cup
16.04.24	MYPA - Vaajakoski	1:2 ✺
Finnish Ykkonen
12.04.24	Atlantis Helsinki - Vaajakoski	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWLWL
- OLS Oulu
Finnish Cup
08.05.24	OLS - SJK	1:2 ✺
Finnish Ykkonen
05.05.24	OLS - Jazz Pori	4:0 ✺
28.04.24	Klubi 04 - OLS	0:0 ✺
21.04.24	OLS - Atlantis Helsinki	1:2 ✺
Finnish Cup
17.04.24	JS Hercules - OLS	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Kakkonen Group C
09.09.23	Vaajakoski - OLS	1:1
18.06.23	OLS - Vaajakoski	1:0
20.08.22	Vaajakoski - OLS	0:1
05.06.22	OLS - Vaajakoski	1:3
02.10.21	OLS - Vaajakoski	0:1
10.07.21	Vaajakoski - OLS	0:0
04.10.20	Vaajakoski - OLS	1:0

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