Match Info

FINLAND: Suomen Cup - 1/32-finals

Date: 8 May 2024, Wednesday


	Vaajakoski		KTP Kotka

	1	X	2
				Watch
	15	7.75	1.12
	19	7.5	1.11
	13.35	7.56	1.12
	13.35	7.56	1.13
	17	8	1.06
	21	8.85	1.07
	12	8	1.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	15.81 ↑ (6.18)	7.89 ↑ (6)	1.11 ↓ (1.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vaajakoski
5.8%

Draw
11.6%

KTP Kotka
82.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.7%

15.2%

70.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.1%

14.6%

72.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vaajakoski has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vaajakoski's form might have worsened.

KTP Kotka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting KTP Kotka's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vaajakoski than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vaajakoski, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for KTP Kotka than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for KTP Kotka, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	25%	75%

Vaajakoski - KTP Kotka Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. KTP will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Tuokkola V. (G) 9. Hakkinen R. 5. Halonen H. 29. Honko R. 14. Montonen B. 11. Salim S. 28. Selin D. 20. Simsek B. 27. Suutarinen L. 19. Verkko M. 4. Voikar L. (C)	1. Jammeh S. (G) 14. Edlund C. 2. Huhtamaki U. 19. Hypponen A. 22. Kyllonen L. 26. Paavola M. 15. Stenius S. 20. Tanninen A. 9. Tarvonen A. (C) 28. Todua O. 6. Vesiaho V.
Substitutes
30. Hanslian B. 23. Mehtonen P. 8. Niemela M. 7. Pasanen J. 1. Poltto J. (G) 3. Sarkkinen J. 12. Sydanmaa M.	11. Banza E. 30. Harbas A. 16. Huttunen A. 18. Toulgeroglou G. 10. Weckstrom L. 33. Zhuk M. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
11', 0 - 1, Tarvonen A. ⚽,
40', 0 - 2, Hypponen A. ⚽,
42', Voikar L. 🟨,
44', Simsek B. 🟨,
45+1', 0 - 3, Tarvonen A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Selin D. ↓, Sarkkinen J. ↑,
46', Simsek B. ↓, Pasanen J. ↑,
46', Salim S. ↓, Sydanmaa M. ↑,
47', 🟨,
47', Montonen B. ↓, Niemela M. ↑,
68', 0 - 4, Stenius S. ⚽,
69', 🟨,
70', Tarvonen A. ↓, Harbas A. ↑,
70', Stenius S. ↓, Toulgeroglou G. ↑,
72', Todua O. 🟨,
82', 0 - 5, Hypponen A. ⚽,

Preview

Recent matches Vaajakoski is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

KTP is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

KTP could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match KTP is the unquestionable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Vaajakoski
Finnish Ykkonen
28.04.24	Vaajakoski - Keski-Uusimaa	4:3 ✺
20.04.24	KPV Kokkola - Vaajakoski	3:1 ✺
Finnish Cup
16.04.24	MYPA - Vaajakoski	1:2 ✺
Finnish Ykkonen
12.04.24	Atlantis Helsinki - Vaajakoski	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
23.03.24	Vaajakoski - JJK Jyväskylä	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLWLL
- KTP Kotka
Finnish Ykkosliiga
03.05.24	KTP Kotka - JäPS	2:0 ✺
28.04.24	PK-35 Vantaa - KTP Kotka	1:5 ✺
24.04.24	KTP Kotka - SJK Akatemia	5:1 ✺
20.04.24	JIPPO - KTP Kotka	1:0 ✺
Finnish Cup
16.04.24	Simpeleen Urheilijat - KTP Kotka	0:18 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WWWLW

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