Match Info

Date: 5 October 2022, Wednesday


	Vado		Borgosesia

	1	X	2
	1.52	3.8	5
	1.5	3.7	5.4
	1.51	3.79	5.4
	1.52	3.92	5.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (2.02)	3.8 ↑ (3.09)	5.29 ↑ (3.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vado
59.4%

Draw
23.6%

Borgosesia
17%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.1%

28.8%

27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.7%

27.2%

25.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vado has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vado's performance.

Borgosesia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Borgosesia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vado than the current prediction. (-12.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vado that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Borgosesia than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Borgosesia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	25%	37.5%

Vado - Borgosesia Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Vado will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Borgosesia will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vado: 4% – 71%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group A (Play Offs) and 18 in the zone Serie D ~ Group A (Play Out)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Vado won 2.

Vado is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Borgosesia is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Borgosesia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Vado is certain favorite.

Our prediction for today's Vado to win the game is with odds 1.43.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Vado won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Vado won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Vado
Italian Serie D - Group A
02.10.22	Fossano - Vado	0:2 ✺
27.09.22	Vado - Chieri	1:0 ✺
22.09.22	Castellanzese - Vado	4:2 ✺
17.09.22	Vado - PDHAE	2:0 ✺
11.09.22	Chisola - Vado	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 WWLWW
- Borgosesia Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group A
02.10.22	Borgosesia - Unione Sanremo	3:4 ✺
28.09.22	Casale - Borgosesia	3:1 ✺
22.09.22	Borgosesia - Legnano	1:4 ✺
17.09.22	Chieri - Borgosesia	0:1 ✺
11.09.22	Borgosesia - Bra	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group A
30.03.22	Vado - Borgosesia	1:1
14.11.21	Borgosesia - Vado	0:0
24.02.21	Borgosesia - Vado	1:2
07.10.20	Vado - Borgosesia	2:0
15.12.19	Vado - Borgosesia	2:2
06.02.16	Vado - Borgosesia	0:0

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