Match Info

Date: 23 December 2020, Wednesday 🏁 Finished


	Valadares Gaia		Canelas

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.6	1.91
	3.2	3.45	1.9
	3.15	3.3	2.04
	3.13	3.6	2.16
	3.14	3.36	2.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.18 ↓ (5.13)	3.46 ↓ (4.15)	2.03 ↑ (1.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valadares Gaia
28.6%

Draw
26.3%

Canelas
45%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

17.9%

22.1%

60%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.1%

18.6%

71.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valadares Gaia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Valadares Gaia's performance.

Canelas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Canelas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valadares Gaia than the current prediction. (-13.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Valadares Gaia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Canelas than the current prediction. (+26.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Canelas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Valadares Gaia is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Canelas is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Valadares Gaia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Canelas have a series of home games.

Canelas will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Valadares Gaia won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Valadares Gaia won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valadares Gaia
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
19.12.20	Valadares Gaia - Sanjoanense	0:1 ✺
13.12.20	Valadares Gaia - São João de Ver	1:1 ✺
05.12.20	Águeda - Valadares Gaia	5:2 ✺
25.11.20	Anadia - Valadares Gaia	2:1 ✺
22.11.20	Valadares Gaia - Lusitano de Vildemoinhos	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LTLLW
- CF Canelas 2010
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
19.12.20	Canelas - Águeda	2:1 ✺
06.12.20	Canelas - São João de Ver	2:1 ✺
18.11.20	Canelas - Anadia	0:1 ✺
15.11.20	Lusitano de Vildemoinhos - Canelas	0:2 ✺
25.10.20	Canelas - Lusitânia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
01.12.19	Valadares Gaia - Canelas	1:2
Taça de Portugal
20.10.19	Valadares Gaia - Canelas	0:1 penalties
08.09.19	Canelas - Valadares Gaia	3:1

Valadares Gaia - Canelas

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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