Match Info

Date: 1 May 2022, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Valadares Gaia		Santa Cruz de Alvarenga

	1	X	2
	1.46	3.4	7.75
	1.4	3.8	6.25
	1.48	3.75	6
	1.49	3.91	7.28
	1.46	3.98	6.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.68)	3.77 ↑ (3.26)	6.78 ↑ (5.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valadares Gaia
62.4%

Draw
24.2%

Santa Cruz de Alvarenga
13.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

54.5%

28.1%

17.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.2%

27.7%

17.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valadares Gaia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Valadares Gaia's performance.

Santa Cruz de Alvarenga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valadares Gaia than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Valadares Gaia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Cruz de Alvarenga than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	12.5%	25%

Valadares Gaia - Santa Cruz de Alvarenga Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Valadares Gaia will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Alvarenga will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Valadares Gaia: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Valadares Gaia is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Alvarenga has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Valadares Gaia is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Valadares Gaia won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Valadares Gaia won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valadares Gaia
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
24.04.22	Valadares Gaia - SC Espinho	0:0 ✺
16.04.22	SC Espinho - Valadares Gaia	0:1 ✺
10.04.22	Valadares Gaia - Gondomar	2:0 ✺
03.04.22	Santa Cruz de Alvarenga - Valadares Gaia	0:1 ✺
05.03.22	Valadares Gaia - Salgueiros 08	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 TWWWL
- GD Santa Cruz de Alvarenga
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
24.04.22	Gondomar - Santa Cruz de Alvarenga	2:1 ✺
10.04.22	SC Espinho - Santa Cruz de Alvarenga	2:1 ✺
03.04.22	Santa Cruz de Alvarenga - Valadares Gaia	0:1 ✺
20.03.22	Santa Cruz de Alvarenga - Gondomar	2:2 ✺
06.03.22	Santa Cruz de Alvarenga - SC Espinho	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
03.04.22	Santa Cruz de Alvarenga - Valadares Gaia	0:1
19.12.21	Valadares Gaia - Santa Cruz de Alvarenga	1:1

Valadares Gaia - Santa Cruz de Alvarenga