Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - GROUP B - ROUND 21

Date: 25 February 2024, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Valadares Gaia		Gondomar

	1	X	2
	2.55	2.8	2.65
	2.65	2.85	2.7
	2.58	2.82	2.63
	2.72	2.83	2.86
	2.6	2.95	2.61
	2.65	2.8	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.63 ↓ (3.06)	2.84 ↓ (3.1)	2.7 ↑ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valadares Gaia
34.5%

Draw
31.9%

Gondomar
33.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

29.7%

29.3%

41%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.1%

28.7%

41.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valadares Gaia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Gondomar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gondomar might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valadares Gaia than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Valadares Gaia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gondomar than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gondomar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation and 6).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Valadares Gaia won 4.

Valadares Gaia is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Gondomar is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Valadares Gaia won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 18-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Valadares Gaia won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valadares Gaia
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
18.02.24	Beira-Mar - Valadares Gaia	0:0 ✺
11.02.24	Vitoria Guimarães B - Valadares Gaia	4:0 ✺
04.02.24	Valadares Gaia - Amarante	2:1 ✺
28.01.24	Rebordosa - Valadares Gaia	1:0 ✺
20.01.24	Valadares Gaia - Paredes	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.4 TLWLL
- Gondomar SC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
18.02.24	Gondomar - Amarante	0:1 ✺
11.02.24	Rebordosa - Gondomar	0:0 ✺
04.02.24	Gondomar - Paredes	1:1 ✺
28.01.24	Marco 09 - Gondomar	0:0 ✺
21.01.24	Gondomar - Oliveira do Douro	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
01.11.23	Gondomar - Valadares Gaia	1:2
02.04.23	Valadares Gaia - Gondomar	3:2
11.12.22	Gondomar - Valadares Gaia	2:2
08.05.22	Gondomar - Valadares Gaia	1:4
10.04.22	Valadares Gaia - Gondomar	2:0
20.02.22	Gondomar - Valadares Gaia	2:1
05.12.21	Valadares Gaia - Gondomar	1:2

Valadares Gaia - Gondomar

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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