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Current Win Probability
Valdefierro 36.1%
Draw 29.7%
Cariñena 34.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.6%
28.1%
32.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
56%
19.9%
22.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Valdefierro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
Cariñena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valdefierro than the current prediction. (+19.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Valdefierro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cariñena than the current prediction. (-11.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cariñena, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Valdefierro - Cariñena Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 in the zone Tercera Division to Group 17 (Relegation Group) and 6 in the zone Promotion to Tercera Division to Group 17 (Second stage)).
Valdefierro has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Cariñena is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Valdefierro could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Valdefierro won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.
Including matches at home between the teams Valdefierro won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.