Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 18 - Round 20

Date: 2 February 2025, Sunday


	Valdepeñas		Villacañas

	1	X	2
	3.1	2.87	2.2
	3.25	2.9	2.24
	3.6	2.9	2.06
	3.26	2.92	2.28	Watch
	3.41	3.01	2.26
	3.25	2.9	2.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.31 ↓ (4.37)	2.92 ↓ (3.07)	2.21 ↑ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valdepeñas
27.5%

Draw
31.3%

Villacañas
41.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.8%

29.6%

49.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.5%

29.2%

50.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valdepeñas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Valdepeñas's performance.

Villacañas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Villacañas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valdepeñas than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Valdepeñas that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villacañas than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Villacañas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Valdepeñas - Villacañas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Moreno R. ⚽,
38', 1 - 1, Garcia H. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 18 (Play Offs: )).

Valdepeñas has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Villacañas in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Villacañas could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Villacañas is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Valdepeñas
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
26.01.25	Valdepeñas - Azuqueca	0:1 ✺
19.01.25	Manzanares - Valdepeñas	0:0 ✺
12.01.25	Albacete B - Valdepeñas	6:2 ✺
21.12.24	Valdepeñas - Huracán Balazote	0:2 ✺
14.12.24	Marchamalo - Valdepeñas	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LTLLL
- CD Villacañas
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
25.01.25	Villacañas - Villarrobledo	Villacanas awarded ✺
19.01.25	Azuqueca - Villacañas	0:1 ✺
12.01.25	Socuéllamos - Villacañas	0:1 ✺
21.12.24	Villacañas - Manzanares	1:1 ✺
14.12.24	Villacañas - Villarrubia	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 ?WWTW

Valdepeñas - Villacañas: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide