Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 18 - Round 28

Date: 30 March 2025, Sunday


	Valdepeñas		Villarrobledo

	1	X	2
	2.7	2.9	2.6
	2.61	2.91	2.61
	2.7	2.9	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↑ (2.25)	2.9 ↓ (3)	2.6 ↓ (3.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valdepeñas
34%

Draw
31.2%

Villarrobledo
34.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.5%

30.4%

29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.5%

29%

27.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valdepeñas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Valdepeñas's form might have worsened.

Villarrobledo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Villarrobledo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valdepeñas than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Valdepeñas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villarrobledo than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Villarrobledo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Valdepeñas - Villarrobledo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Tenkou Yougou Y. ⚽,
37', 2 - 0, Banen P. A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 14).

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

Valdepeñas will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Valdepeñas won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Valdepeñas
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
23.03.25	Socuéllamos - Valdepeñas	3:0 ✺
16.03.25	Valdepeñas - Villarrubia	1:1 ✺
07.03.25	Tarancón - Valdepeñas	1:0 ✺
02.03.25	Valdepeñas - Calvo Sotelo Puertollano	2:2 ✺
23.02.25	Pedroñeras - Valdepeñas	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 LTLTT
- CP Villarrobledo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
23.03.25	Villarrobledo - Azuqueca	1:1 ✺
16.03.25	Manzanares - Villarrobledo	1:2 ✺
09.03.25	Villarrobledo - Albacete B	1:3 ✺
02.03.25	Huracán Balazote - Villarrobledo	2:0 ✺
23.02.25	Villarrobledo - Marchamalo	0:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
17.11.24	Villarrobledo - Valdepeñas	0:0

Valdepeñas - Villarrobledo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide