Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 18 - Round 24Date: 1 March 2026, Sunday
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Villarrobledo |
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Marchamalo |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.72 |
2.82 |
2.58 |
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 |
2.79 |
2.9 |
2.62 |
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2.8 |
2.9 |
2.6 |
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2.8 |
2.7 |
2.63 |
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2.72 |
2.83 |
2.55 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.77 ↑
(2.74) |
2.83 ↓
(2.86) |
2.6 ↑
(2.58) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Villarrobledo
32.9% | Draw
32.1% | Marchamalo
35% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Villarrobledo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)Marchamalo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villarrobledo than the current prediction. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marchamalo than the current prediction. (-0.5%)Villarrobledo - Marchamalo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 7', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 45', 2 - 0, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 58', 2 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 12 and 10).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Villarrobledo won 2.In recent matches, Villarrobledo has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).Marchamalo is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).Villarrobledo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Villarrobledo won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:11. (average 1:1.4).Including home matches between the teams, Villarrobledo won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:8. (average 0.3:2.7).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 2 | Villarrobledo | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8:1 | 7 | 11 |
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| 7 | Marchamalo | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10:7 | 3 | 8 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18 | | | 19.10.25 | Marchamalo - Villarrobledo | 1:1 | | 23.02.25 | Villarrobledo - Marchamalo | 0:6 | | 13.10.24 | Marchamalo - Villarrobledo | 2:4 | | 04.02.24 | Villarrobledo - Marchamalo | 1:1 | | 17.09.23 | Marchamalo - Villarrobledo | 0:1 | | 05.03.23 | Villarrobledo - Marchamalo | 0:1 | | 30.10.22 | Marchamalo - Villarrobledo | 0:0 |
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