Match Info

Liga F Women - Round 5

Date: 27 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Antonio Puchades (Valencia)

Referee: Gil M. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	DAZN Espana


	Valencia		Tenerife

	1	X	2
	3.90	3.20	1.83
	3.6	3.35	1.82	Watch
	3.97	3.45	1.83
	4.02	3.73	1.81	Watch
	3.94	3.17	1.7
	3.54	3.74	1.93
	3.65	3.45	1.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.8 ↓ (3.85)	3.44 ↑ (3.2)	1.83 ↑ (1.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Valencia
23.9%

Draw
26.4%

Tenerife
49.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

23.1%

27.8%

49.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.9%

22.2%

39.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valencia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Tenerife has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valencia than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tenerife than the current prediction. (-10.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tenerife, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Valencia - Tenerife Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Pinguet A. (G) 3. Perez Sanchez L. 5. Martin N. 18. Saez C. 14. Pauleta (C) 7. Marcano D. 10. Elloh R. 6. Flordelis G. 2. Tamarit S. 8. Marin C. 19. Moral L.	13. Caceres N. (G) 11. Zaremba A. (C) 3. Cinta Rodriguez 20. Martinez B. 18. Verges E. 16. Quiles V. 15. Muina Asla H. 14. Salazar N. 4. Zamanian A. 9. Padilla N. 24. Gramaglia P.
Substitutes
4. Fernandez C. 15. Garcia D. 20. Gomez Martinez E. 13. Llacer M. (G) 32. Marchena N. 11. Mascarell M. 12. Mbadi A. 17. Morato T. 21. Mrabet Y. K. 9. Prat S.	21. Carballo Cabrera A. 22. Gavira Collado P. 26. Lecaille C. 19. Marti M. 6. Mingueza A. 17. Perez I. 1. Ramos N. (G) 10. Suarez C.
Coaches
Crespo M.	Yerai M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
61', 0 - 1, Padilla N. ⚽, Zaremba A. (A),
64', Zamanian A. ↓, Marti M. ↑,
64', Quiles V. ↓, Carballo Cabrera A. ↑,
65', Verges E. 🟨,
66', Marin C. (Penalty Awarded),
71', Perez Sanchez L. ↓, Prat S. ↑,
75', Muina Asla H. 🟨,
80', Marin C. ↓, Garcia D. ↑,
81', Padilla N. ↓, Perez I. ↑,
81', Gramaglia P. ↓, Suarez C. ↑,
87', Marcano D. ↓, Mascarell M. ↑,
89', 1 - 1, Caceres N. (Own goal),
90+11', 1 - 2, Suarez C. ⚽, Marti M. (A),

Preview

A high-tension relegation six-pointer between two sides desperate to escape the danger zone (ranked 16th in the Relegation ~ Primera Federacion Women and 15th in the Relegation ~ Primera Federacion Women).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Valencia won 0.

Valencia is on a difficult losing run (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Tenerife is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Tenerife may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Tenerife carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Valencia has recorded 3 wins, 6 draws, and 11 losses, with a goal aggregate of 18:30 (averaging 0.9:1.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Valencia against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses, with 13:16 goals (averaging 1.2:1.5 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Costa Adeje Tenerife W	7	3	2	2	10:11	-1	11
16	Valencia W	7	0	0	7	4:14	-10	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valencia CF Femenino
Spanish Liga F Women
19.09.26	Real Madrid - Valencia	3:1 ✺
13.09.26	Logroño United - Valencia	2:1 ✺
05.09.26	Valencia - Madrid CFF	1:3 ✺
30.08.26	Deportivo Alavés - Valencia	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly Women
18.08.26	Valencia - Paris Saint-Germain	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- CD Tenerife Femenino
Spanish Liga F Women
20.09.26	Tenerife - Sevilla	1:3 ✺
13.09.26	Real Sociedad - Tenerife	1:1 ✺
06.09.26	Tenerife - Deportivo A Coruña	0:0 ✺
30.08.26	Barcelona - Tenerife	5:0 ✺
Club Friendly Women
15.08.26	Tenerife - Atlético Madrid	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LTTLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Liga F Women
09.02.25	Valencia - Tenerife	1:2
16.11.24	Tenerife - Valencia	2:0
Club Friendly Women
31.08.24	Valencia - Tenerife	1:1
Spanish Liga F Women
27.04.24	Tenerife - Valencia	1:0
27.01.24	Valencia - Tenerife	1:1
04.03.23	Valencia - Tenerife	2:1
27.11.22	Tenerife - Valencia	1:0

Upcoming Matches